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Month: March 2017

Cash Plays

Chris Paul ($9,800) – Both Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan did not make the trip to Denver with the team, so both are inactive tonight. Paul had an awful game yesterday but the usage he will get tonight against the Nuggets makes it hard to fade him. Denver is also one of the worst defensive teams in the league, so there will be plenty of fantasy points for Paul to get tonight at the Pepsi Center.

Will Barton ($5,300) – Both Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari have been ruled out of the game tonight, meaning Barton will see a lot of extra minutes against the Clippers. Los Angeles is a good at defending shooting guards, but considering Barton is only $5,300 I don’t think he’ll have any trouble reaching value, especially if he gets the 30+ minutes I think he will.

Carmelo Anthony ($8,400) – Carmelo and the Knicks lost to the Nets just 2 games ago in Brooklyn. Tonight, however, they get a home matchup against the same Nets team and I don’t necessarily think Carmelo wants to lose to them twice in one season. Brooklyn give up the most fantasy points to opposing small forwards (47.5 per game), and I don’t think playing Anthony is going to help improve that statistic. I expect him to easily get the 42 fantasy points he needs to reach value and even offers more upside tonight.

Nikola Jokic ($10,600) – Though I do like Will Barton with all of the Nuggets players sititng out, I like Nikola Jokic even more. He’ll be going up against a Clippers team that has great numbers when it comes to defending the power forward position, however, as previously stated, Los Angeles will be without DeAndre Jordan and Blake Griffin, their two best big men. Don’t let Jokic’s price scare you away from him tonight. He should have an easy road to 50+ fantasy points and you’re going to want to have him in your lineups.

Nikola Vucevic ($7,700) – There aren’t a whole lot of options tonight at the center position. People are probably going to go a variety of different ways, but I’m going to focus on the highest price guy on the slate: Nikola Vucevic. After sitting out due to injury for much of last week Vucevic has come back strong in his last 2 games, posting 39.2 and 45.8 fantasy points in those 2 contests. He gets a matchup I always like for centers as he faces the Golden State Warriors tonight, a team that is giving up over 50 fantasy points a game to centers in their last 5 games. I think Vuc will score upwards of 40 fantasy points and is a great call in cash games today.

 

GPP Plays

Jamal Murray ($4,000) – Mike Malone finally gave Murray 30+ minutes in their last game and he didn’t disappoint, putting up 30.9 fantasy points. The Nuggets stated that they wanted to get Murray more minutes to end the year, but this was really the first instance in which we’ve seen them follow through with the statement. At $4,000 he only needs 20 FP to reach value tonight against the Clippers. If he sees anywhere close to 30 minutes again he is complete highway robbery at this price. He’s definitely a guy I’m going to plug into my GPP lineups tonight with his high reward potential.

Tony Allen ($4,100) – Tony Allen is always one of the riskiest picks when he’s on the slate. A guy mainly known for his defense, he generally doesn’t offer a whole lot of value from a fantasy perspective. However, he has strung together some great game this year and definitely gets the minutes to produce on a day-to-day basis. He’ll be facing an Atlanta Hawks team tonight that have been giving up the 4th most fantasy points to shooting guards over their last 5 games (46.7).

Joe Ingles ($4,000) – Rodney Hood has already been ruled out tonight. When Hood has sat out this year Joe Ingles has filled in quite nicely and generally is a great GPP punt play. He should be getting the start tonight at shooting guard and only needs 20 fantasy points to reach value, which he has exceeded in his last 2 games. The Jazz will be taking on Cleveland today, a team that is actually one of the worst in the league when it comes to containing small forwards.

Juancho Hernangomez ($3,600) – I’m not exactly sure where Juancho’s own % will fall tonight with a lot of Denver players sidelined, though I do think most people’s attention will be on Jokic and Barton, making Hernangomez a sneaky GPP play. He’s just about as cheap as you can get and he’s not as risky considering it looks like he may draw a start. It depends on how much Mike Malone plays him, but the last time the Nuggets were super limited Juancho went off for 43 fantasy points. I think he has the chance to do that again tonight.

Tristan Thompson ($5,500) – I’m choosing Thompson as my GPP center because most will not be starting him considering he has a matchup against the Utah Jazz. However, his price keeps dropping even though he is playing at a relatively consistent level. He only needs a little over 25 to reach value tonight and I think with his physicality he can easily do that against a good Jazz team. If you’re looking for a middle-priced tournament center I think Thompson is your guy.

Yesterday was one of the lowest scoring nights of the year for NBA fantasy. Just about everyone failed to reach value. Having said that, Paul George’s 31 fantasy points as the pick of the day yesterday wasn’t too bad. Tonight, I’m rolling with a guy who has really had the hot hand as of late in Devin Booker of the Phoenix Suns. Booker is really coming into his own as a professional and has really showed his confidence and effort on the court. He is priced at $6,600 tonight, but for a good reason. He has reached over 30 fantasy points in has like 4 games and should continue to do so in a great matchup tonight against the Kings. I feel that his opponent Buddy Hield is going to have a lot of issues covering him tonight because of the strictly offensive mind that Buddy has. Expect Booker to get you right up over 30 fantasy points to reach value for you tonight.

Cash Plays

Patty Mills ($4,400) – Patty Mills has filled in quite nicely as the Spurs starting point guard with Tony Parker and Dejounte Murray sidelined with injuries. He has put up at least 30 fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games and draws a fantastic matchup tonight against the Portland Trail Blazers, a team that is giving up an average of 55 fantasy points a game to opposing point guards over their last 5 games. Murray has already been ruled out so we are just waiting on news for Tony Parker. Parker was upgraded to questionable but I see no reason why the Spurs would feel inclined to rush him back into action, especially with the way Patty Mills has been playing recently. Of course, make sure Mills is starting before you plug him into your lineup.

Jeremy Lamb ($4,900) – Nicolas Batum has been ruled out once again for tonight’s matchup with the Indiana Pacers. Lamb filled in nicely for Batum on Monday, putting up 34.8 fantasy points in 31 minutes. He should have absolutely no problem scoring around 25 tonight and that’s what he needs to reach value. Lamb will more than likely be the most heavily owned guy on the slate so you’re going to want to make sure you get him into your cash game lineups.

T.J. Warren ($5,900) – T.J. Warren has not scored less than 22 fantasy points in over a month. He’s on a consistent streak that always has him on my cash game radar, and that is exactly what is going on again tonight. He’ll be going up against a Sacramento Kings team that doesn’t contain small forwards well, giving up the 3rd most fantasy points to the position (47.4) over their last 10 games. Warren has been scoring like the player we saw earlier in the year and I think his success will continue tonight when Sacramento comes to town.

Marvin Williams ($6,500) – Marvin William’s price is up a bit more than I think anyone expected it would ever be at, but to be honest I still don’t think it fully reflects his recent production. He has put up 44+ fantasy points in his last 3 contests and is averaging 37 minutes during those 3 games. He’s been the Hornets primary rebounder as well, averaging over 15 rebounds to go along with 17 points during that time frame. He will get a matchup tonight against an Indiana team that gives up right around 45 FP a game to opposing power forwards. He needs just a little over 30 to reach value tonight and I don’t think he’ll have any trouble doing that on the road.

DeMarcus Cousins ($9,000) – Cousin’s price is still down for tonight’s tilt with the Miami Heat in South Beach. Last night his price was 9k (which it is again tonight) and many took advantage of it, as he was close to 40% owned in cash games on the 5 game slate. Tonight, I don’t necessarily expect it to be that high with twice as many games and twice as many options throughout Fanduel. However, he has the potential to score 50-60 fantasy points any time he takes the floor, so the fact that he only needs 45 to reach value tonight makes him very intriguing. I expect many to think the same and plug Cousin’s into their lineups, so you should do the same.

 

GPP Plays

Eric Bledsoe ($8,000) – With some recent subpar performances I don’t expect too many people to be reaching up for Eric Bledsoe tonight. He hasn’t convinced anyone he has the consistency to go along with his price tag, which generally leads people to fading him out of cash game consideration. However, he has always maintained his place as an elite GPP play in my mind. At 8k he offers upside of 50+ fantasy points and could definitely be the reason why you cash in tournaments. He always seems to do well against his Pacific division rivals as well, which is the exact matchup he gets tonight as the Sacramento Kings come into town.

Lou Williams ($5,400) – I can’t be the only one that likes when a player faces an old team for a rivalry game, right? This one’s pretty fresh as well, considering the Lakers just traded Williams to the Rockets last month. I always feel like guys play with a chip on their shoulder when they go up against old teams, which leads to a desire to prove they made a mistake. I think Williams will try to take advantage of his court time and may even fire up some extra shots tonight against a weak Lakers defense. He’s definitely a guy I’ll be considering for tournament play tonight.

Maurice Harkless ($4,500) – After back to back performances of 5 or less fantasy points I assume most will do everything in their power to start anyone other than Maurice Harkless tonight. However, I have seen too much good out of this kid to just throw him to the side and forget that he helped me cash multiple times in the 2 last weeks. Evan Turner could be rejoining the Blazers for tonight’s matchup against San Antonio, but if he does sit I think Harkless becomes an ideal GPP play. His matchup and awful play of late should lead to a low own % and I highly doubt he has another sub par performance, even if he is going up against Kawhi Leonard and the Spurs.

Blake Griffin ($8,800) – Blake Griffin has been the definition of high risk/high reward since the all-star break, posting multiple games of 30 or less fantasy points and only one with 50+. That 50+ game did result in 43 points and 10 rebounds for an insane 65.5 fantasy points. Needless to say, he was in all of the winning GPP lineups by the end of the night. I think the same could be in store for him as he goes up against a Milwaukee Bucks team that is middle of the road when it comes to defending the power forward position. No one should really be looking toward Griffin in cash games, but his high upside makes him an ideal tournament play tonight at the Staples Center.

Kosta Koufos ($4,400) – Koufos sat out against the Magic on Monday for rest, but he will resume his center duties tonight against the Phoenix Suns. In his last 4 games, Koufos has played pretty well, putting up over 20 fantasy points in each of those contests. He’ll be facing a Suns team tonight that is giving up 54.3 fantasy points to centers over their last 5 games. I think he is in a great position to produce and should bring good value/upside to your GPP lineup.

Pick of the day continues to crush 5x value. Lets keep the streak going by picking Paul George of the Indiana Pacers. George has been in fantastic form since the all-star break and is finally starting to live up to his hype. He sees a great matchup tonight against the Knicks, which should be an up-tempo game. George needs 40 fantasy points to get value tonight, which shouldn’t be an issue at all. Lock George in tonight at SF.

Cash Plays

Russell Westbrook ($13,400) – A 5 game slate with Russell Westbrook in play generally leads him to have a high ownership. Mix that with the fact that he’s playing the Brooklyn Nets tonight and you have a night where most will probably not be fading the 28-year-old fantasy star. His price is over 13k, but for good reason. He’s posted over 70 fantasy points in 3 of his last 5 games and is averaging 68.2 FP over that same time frame. He’s definitely going to be owned tonight so make sure to get him into your cash game lineups.

Klay Thompson ($7,200) – There was one hiccup in his last 4 games in which Thompson posted under 20 fantasy points (17.5 to be exact). However, in the other 3 he has hit 40 or been very close to it, proving he has actually been the more consistent player for his price tag since Kevin Durant went down with an injury. He’ll need 36 fantasy points to reach value tonight against a 76ers team that is giving up over 46 fantasy points to shooting guards over their last 10 games.

Paul George ($8,100) – George is probably going to be a player many people target at the small forward position tonight due to his recent consistency. He has posted at least 30 FP in his last 7 games and gets a matchup tonight against a Knicks team that is giving up over 50 fantasy points to the position over their last 5 games. George’s price is right tonight as he takes on the Knicks in Madison Square Garden, so make sure to lock him into your cash game lineups.

Kristaps Porzingis ($6,600) – Kristaps has had a great start to the month on March, posting no less that 24 FP in his first 7 games and putting up over 40 fantasy points in 3 of them. Tonight he gets a matchup at home against the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have a great individual defender at the power forward position in Thad Young, but overall against the PF position this year they are in the bottom half of the league in fantasy points given up. The Knicks also go small frequently, allowing Porzingis to play stretch center. Because of this, I don’t think Young will give him any troubles and he should easily hit his 5x value by getting you over 30 fantasy points.

Jusuf Nurkic ($6,600) – Nurkic’s price is back down under 7k for his matchup against the Pelicans tonight, which is great news from a fantasy perspective. The 22-year-old Bosnian is a rising star in the league, and his fantasy production is backing it up. He’s posted over 30 FP in 7 of his last 8 games and had a massive 77 FP outburst against the 76ers last week. He’s proven that he is a consistent cash game play and is the center I will be targeting tonight in my cash game lineups.

 

GPP Plays

Steph Curry ($10,100) – With everybody reaching up for Russell Westbrook tonight it’s only reasonable to assume most will not occupy their 2nd point guard position with another high-priced play like Steph Curry. This rules him out of cash game consideration, but makes him an ideal GPP play. He hasn’t produced like many thought he would since the Durant injury, but that also means he’s due for a big game. A matchup with the 76ers tonight puts him in a great position to produce, and he’ll need over 50 FP to be a solid tournament play.

Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot ($3,700) – Luwawu-Cabarrot has been seeing some increased minutes lately, averaging 30 over his last 2 games. It appears the Sixers are going to be implementing him more and more into the game plan and I think it’s only logical to use him as a GPP punt play tonight with his price still down under 4k. Given that he has produced in the court time he has been given I think it’s safe to say he’ll see at least 25 minutes again tonight, so he’s definitely a guy I’m going to consider in tournaments.

Solomon Hill ($3,600) – An inconsistent guy. There isn’t really much else to say about Solomon Hill. The Boogie trade to New Orleans hasn’t done too much to effect his minutes, though, as he still see roughly 30 a game. The real problem is simply in his offensive production, as he generally puts up under 10 points a game to go along with an average of 15 FP. However, he’s only $3,600 tonight and the guy has shown that he has 30+ fantasy point potential if he’s got his offensive game going. He’s as risky as a player can get, so use him at your own risk. But, I do believe he has the potential for a huge game against a lackluster Trail Blazers defense.

Tobias Harris ($6,000) – Harris has a “game time decision” stamp next to his name tonight and I think many are likely to pass on him because of it. However, he is expected to play today after being held out of practice yesterday. He’s been extremely consistent over his last 6 games, posting at least 27 fantasy points in each those contests. On Saturday he erupted for a monster 47.9 fantasy points against the Knicks and I think will be excited to keep his hot streak going tonight against the Cavaliers, a team that has actually been giving up a lot of fantasy points to opposing power forwards over their last 10 games. Make sure he’s playing before you lock him in, but if he is I love him tonight in tournaments.

Jahlil Okafor ($5,200) – Okafor has been playing well over his last 3 games, but I don’t necessarily think his price reflects that. He posted 26+ fantasy points in every game last week and draws a matchup tonight against a Golden State Warriors team that gives up 47 FP to centers per game. Okafor should easily flirt with 30+ fantasy points and has the potential to even get you over 40, making him an ideal play for his price tag.

Last night’s Pick of the Day in Kristaps Porzingis once again crushed his price tag for over 6x value. Tonight, though, we’ll be going with more of a value play in Patty Mills of the San Antonio Spurs. Mills got the spot start 2 nights ago with Tony Parker injured and put up 30.4 fantasy points in only 21 minutes of action. Tonight, however, expect him to see upwards of 30 minutes with Parker and Dejounte Murray still sidelined. He’ll be facing an Atlanta Hawks team that doesn’t contain point guards very well, especially over their last 10 games in which they’ve given up an average of 52 fantasy points per game to the position. Expect him to reach 5x value tonight by getting upwards of 30 fantasy points.

Cash Plays

Patty Mills ($4,000) – Patty Mills was one of my stack players in the SA/GS game a few nights ago with all the stars out, expecting him to be a good value option that could hit 15-20 FP. He surprised me, however, by dropping 30 fantasy points for the 2nd time in 3 games. Tonight, Tony Parker and Dejounte Murray are out yet again, allowing Mills to see as much court time as he can possibly handle. His price is only up to $4,000 and I think he will be the most heavily owned player on the slate. Make sure to get him into your lineups.

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,700) – Giannis is the highest priced player on this slate along with John Wall. With no Westbrook, Harden, or LeBron I already feel his ownership will be slightly increased, but I’m mainly going to focus on his matchup tonight. The Memphis Grizzlies have struggled to defend point guards and shooting guards since the all-star break, as they are in the bottom 4 in fantasy points given up to both positions over that time. Specifically over their last 5 games they have given up 54.2 fantasy points a game to the shooting guard position, and 4 of those 5 shooting guards they faced were no where close to the skill set Giannis possesses. He should easily keep their streak of bad games going tonight at the FedEx Forum.

Brandon Ingram ($4,000) – Ingram reached value last night against the 76ers, but somehow his price went back down to 4k. Rather than mull over this, however, I’m going to talk about the fact that he has now posted at least 22 fantasy points in 4 straight games and draws a matchup with the Denver Nuggets tonight, a team that he dropped 33 fantasy points on the last time they met. Denver is currently giving up the 4th most points in the league at 110.9 per game and I think this is an ideal matchup for Ingram. At the very least, he’ll offer value at the small forward position so you can reach up at other areas.

Nikola Jokic ($10,000) – Jokic is the beneficiary of a matchup with the Los Angeles Lakers tonight, a team that has given up the most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season. This is a game I may be looking to stack just because there shouldn’t be any defense, meaning there will be plenty of fantasy points to go around for everybody. At Jokic’s 10k price he needs around 50 fantasy points to reach value. With Faried doubtful tonight and Wilson Chandler looking like he may not be able to play either I think Jokic should easily exceed his price tag. Even if one of them does play, though, I think he will still have a great game on the road tonight in Denver.

Karl Anthony-Towns ($10,500) – I’m sorry for another high-priced pick but I think KAT is in a great spot to do well tonight against the Washington Wizards tonight. He is getting between 40-50 fantasy points just about every game and, for a guy with his price tag, I’m not exactly expecting him to reach his full value every single night (which would be over 50 FP). His consistency mixed with his star potential make him a great play any day, my salary is just generally used up by higher priced guys like Westbrook or Harden. With KAT being one of the most expensive guys tonight he is definitely on my cash game pick radar and I’m going to do everything I can to get him into my lineup.

 

GPP Plays

Kemba Walker ($8,400) – Walker’s production has made him a DFS monster over the last 2 weeks. He has put up 40+ fantasy points in 6 of his last 7 games and gets a matchup tonight against the Chicago Bulls in Charlotte. The Bulls are giving up 56.7 FP a game to the point guard position over their last 5 games and facing Kemba Walker will not be the solution to any of their problems. He needs 42 to reach value tonight, which he should have absolutely no trouble doing for the 7th time in 2 weeks.

Buddy Hield ($4,200) – It’s hard to say where Hield’s own % will fall tonight because we’ve seen his minutes fluctuate while on the Kings. With such a crowded backcourt in Sacramento it’s kind of amazing he even sees 20 minutes a game, but I think that is the minimum he’ll see tonight against Orlando. I’m focusing mainly on his minutes because if he’s given the court time he is a fantastic play, which is what we’ve seen over the last 2 games. In both contests he’s seen 30+ minutes and racked up 23+ fantasy points, which are both well above his averages. If Joerger keeps working him into the rotation we’re going to see his price start to steadily rise over the next few weeks. I think tonight is a good night to roll with Hield considering he’s still around 4k and the Kings have liked what they’ve seen out of their new rookie, meaning they are likely to keep giving him the court time he deserves.

Kent Bazemore ($4,300) – Bazemore always seems to play well against the exact teams you think he would struggle against, like the San Antonio Spurs team he faces tonight. The Spurs guard against the small forward position very well, so if Bazemore wants to do well he’s going to have his work cut out for him. He hasn’t been spectacular of late, but also hasn’t been awful considering his price tag. He hasn’t scored less than 16 FP in his last 4 games and he only needs around 21 to reach value tonight. I personally believe he carries significant upside with him and could be a great GPP play tonight in San Antonio.

Blake Griffin ($9,100) – No one is going to be rushing to get Blake Griffin into their lineups tonight given that he has a matchup against the Jazz, who are by far the best defensive team in the league. However, in his last matchup with them he put up a 26 point/10 rebound double-double and Los Angeles slipped by Utah 88-72. That game was in Utah, which is exactly where the Clippers will be tonight to take on the Jazz in their 4th and final meeting of the season. Griffin should have a low own % tonight and makes for an ideal GPP play.

DeAndre Jordan ($7,400) – I’m going to keep my GPP center pick in Los Angeles and go with DeAndre Jordan of the Clippers. Coming off one of his best games of the season on Saturday (a 19 point/20 rebound effort against the 76ers), Jordan is probably eager to keep his hot streak going. He’ll have the same difficult task as Griffin going up against a tough Utah Jazz team. Part of the reason the Jazz are so good against big men is because they can stop the rebound game. However, in his last 2 meetings with them Jordan has put up 16 and 13 rebounds, while also averaging close to 10 points per game. Long story short, he keeps his season averages the same against them and carries some insane upside, like when we saw when he put up 57 fantasy points just last game.

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