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Month: March 2017

Cash Plays

Damian Lillard ($8,800) – With Russell Westbrook’s price tag still over $13,000 for his matchup tonight against the Spurs I believe many will look for another high-priced option at point guard. Though Bledsoe and Kyrie are both priced above him, Lillard’s matchup against the 76ers is hard to resist. Philadelphia has given up 52.9 FP to point guards over their last 10 games and Lillard is in a great position to reach that average tonight in Portland.

Devin Booker ($6,400) – The shooting guard position is rather limited tonight and I expect Booker to be heavily owned given his matchup with the Lakers. The Suns and Lakers both play awful defense, which can be seen by the fact that they both give up 111 points per game to their opposition. This game is projected to be very high scoring because of this and the fast-paced action should bode well for the 20-year-old shooting guard. He should easily flirt with 30+ fantasy points and reach value at home tonight.

Brandon Ingram ($4,000) – Ingram is proving to be more consistent over his last 6 games, averaging between 19.5 and 24.2 fantasy points in 5 of them. For his price point, that is great production, and he should be able to keep the ball rolling tonight against a Phoenix Suns team that is giving up the 2nd most points in the league. Ingram will probably see 35+ minutes again tonight, giving him ample opportunities to grab fantasy points for your team.

Dario Saric ($7,400) – There are actually some good options tonight at the PF position, but one of my cash game picks is more than likely going to be Saric if I can fit him in. The Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing power forwards all year and Dario should be able to easily reach his $7,400 price tag against them. Saric has put up at least 33 FP in 10 of his last 11 games and should be a popular pick tonight because of the small slate and his recent production.

Jusuf Nurkic ($6,500) – Nurkic is likely to be highly owned yet again given the fact that the Blazers will be matching up with a 76ers team that has given up the most fantasy points per game to opposing centers. What makes this matchup even more tantalizing, however, is that Philadelphia has given up close to 60 FP a game a game to the center position over their last 5 games, which is 6 more points than the next closest team. Nurkic’s price came down a little after his last game (which was still 30.6 FP), and he should have a very high own % as the center with the most upside tonight. Lock him in and watch him take control.

 

GPP Plays

 Reggie Jackson ($5,200) – I saw Reggie Jackson completely take control of the game against the Chicago Bulls on Monday, putting up 26 points and 6 assists to go toward a 36.4 fantasy point night. With inconsistency from KCP and Marcus Morris, I think it could be up to Reggie Jackson to try and help keep the Pistons in the game yet again. The Cavs actually give up 50.4 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards so Reggie has all the pieces to put together a good stat line tonight, it’s just about whether or not he can get the job done.

J.J. Reddick ($4,100) – With all the injuries to the Clippers this year we were able to witness Reddick step up when Los Angeles needed him. With everyone back and healthy now, a good fantasy performance from him completely rides on whether or not he gets enough shots in a game. He doesn’t score fantasy points in a lot of other ways so he’s really a GPP play most of the time. That is the case once again tonight as he goes up against the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies are giving up the 4th most fantasy points to shooting guards over their last 4 games so Reddick is in a great position to produce tonight in Memphis.

Justin Anderson ($3,900) – I watched this kid play a little bit last week and was truly impressed by what he could do on the court. He was a very physical player and really had a nose for the ball. Given a choice out of the 76ers forwards, most are going to turn to Dario Saric tonight, but I wouldn’t keep Anderson out of mind. He’s been fitting in nicely with his new team, putting up 29 fantasy points twice in his last 3 games. He gets to matchup tonight against a Portland team that is awful at guarding the forward positions. At his price point I think he carries significant upside and is definitely a guy I’m looking to get into my GPP lineups.

Tobias Harris ($5,400) – Harris has strung together 4 straight games of at least 27 fantasy points, which, by coincidence, is exactly what he needs to reach 5x value tonight. He’ll be squaring off with a Cleveland team that is generally great at defending the power forward position, but have struggled as of late, giving up the 3rd most fantasy points to the position over their last 5 games with no Kevin Love. I see Harris keeping his streak of good games going tonight when the Cavs come into town.

Tristan Thompson ($5,800) – Thompson has cooled down since the all-star break after a phenomenal start to the month of February, a time in which he was putting up 30 FP regularly. Tonight he’ll face off with a Detroit Pistons team that is good at defending the center position. However, Thompson is a very physical center that prefers boards over points. With a matchup against Andre Drummond he is likely to be around the rim tonight, much like he was in their first two meeting when he averaged 12 rebounds against them. With his price now under 6k I think it’s safe to roll with Thompson and hope he brings the same upside we saw from him in early February.

 

 

 

 

Millsap just fell short of his 5x value last night but still put up a solid amount of fantasy points. Tonight, I’m going to target a projected high scoring and fast paced game with the Lakers vs. Suns. The pick of the day is Brandon Ingram. The Lakers seem to realize that this season is over and their best decision is to give their future a lot of run and time on the court. Ingram is still developing into the NBA and shows his inexperienced play, but with his low salary and high minutes, it’s tough to pass on him. His 4K price tag means he needs 20 fantasy points to reach his 5x value. I see him getting in the high 20’s tonight while playing around 35 minutes. Lock him in and watch the young talent reach value for you.

Last night was just another night where the pick of the day reached at least 5x value with Alan Williams. He was able to get enough points, even while fouling out of the game with a good portion of the 4th quarter left. Tonight, I’m targeting a higher salary guy in Paul Millsap of the Atlanta Hawks. He draws a dreamy matchup tonight at home against the Nets. The line is 10.5 here so I’m not overly worried about a blowout. Even if the game blew out, Millsap will need to produce for that offense in order to get ahead. He could still reach value in three quarters. Tonight, for Millsap to reach 5x value, he needs around 40 fantasy points where I see him achieving without too much difficulty.

Cash Plays

John Wall ($10,200) –I’m going to keep looking to get Wall into my cash game lineups if his price remains around $10,000, and that’s exactly where it is tonight for his matchup with the Nuggets, a team that has given up the 3rd most points in the league. Not only that, they have also given up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing point guards all season. Wall should be able to feast on their weak defense and rack up a ton of fantasy points. Don’t let his price scare you away.

Evan Fournier ($5,400) – Fournier has been very consistent over his last 4 games, posting at least 22 fantasy points in each of them. Most of the big name shooting guards on the slate are either over priced or have an awful matchup, so I expect a lot of people to look to Fournier tonight for consistency and a little cap relief. The Bulls are pretty solid guarding the SG position, but if Wade/Butler sit it’s going to be up to other, lesser known players to get the job done against Fournier. I like him at home tonight.

Wilson Chandler ($6,800) – Chandler went off for a massive 57.4 fantasy points on Monday against the Kings. It’s obviously unlikely he does that again, but Nikola Jokic is doubtful and Faried has already been ruled out, meaning the Nuggets will turn to Chandler to be the primary scorer against the Wizards tonight. Washington is in the bottom half of the league in total fantasy points given up to opposing small forwards and I don’t see Chandler having any issues reaching value against them tonight in Denver.

Aaron Gordon ($5,700) – As previously mentioned in one of my articles, Gordon is filling in quite nicely as the Magic’s starting power forward. With Vucevic out Gordon has enjoyed his new roll even more, putting up 30+ fantasy points in his last 3 games and stepping up whenever Orlando needs him. In his 2 meetings with the Bulls this year Gordon has done relatively well, putting up 28.8 and 22.2 FP. With an increased roll tonight I think he easily exceeds value and will be a great cash game option.

(If you’re not a fan of the Magic stack look to Bobby Portis {$4,300} or even David Lee {$4,500} tonight as value plays at the power forward position)

Bismack Biyombo ($4,600) – I really like the Orlando guys tonight, so I’m going to keep it rolling with another guy from their squad. Biyombo’s price is now up to $4,600 after back-to-back solid performances while Nikola Vucevic was out. Vucevic will sit again tonight with an Achilles injury and I expect Bismack to remain a popular cash game play. The Magic will have home court tonight against a Bulls team that looks like they may be rather limited with Butler, Wade, and Rondo all listed as game time decisions. Regardless of who plays, Biyombo is in a great position tonight against a Chicago team that has given up an average of 53.5 fantasy points per game to the center position over their last 5 games, which is good for 3rd worst in the league.

GPP Plays

Jeremy Lin ($5,200) – I love Lin’s matchup tonight against a Hawks defense that is giving up 50.4 FP a game to the point guard position this year. He’s not seeing quite the same amount of minutes he was getting prior to his injury, but Kenny Atkinson is slowly working him back into the rotation. He’s seen 24 minutes in his last 2 games and I think he’ll see 25+ tonight. He has the potential to have a great game but he’s definitely a “play at your own risk” kind of guy.

Garrett Temple ($4,200) – Temple returned from injury on Sunday and played in 24 minutes against the Jazz. He sat out the following game for rest but will be available again tonight as the Kings take on the Spurs, who will be without Kawhi Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge. If he is given at least 25 minutes tonight I see him exceeding his $4,200 price tag and being a good play in GPP games.

Marcus Morris ($6,100) – The younger of the Morris twins has had a nice return from the all-star break, averaging 32.7 FP per game over 6 games. A large chunk of that is from his 55.6 FP outbreak last week against Portland, but it’s for that exact reason that I like Morris in tournaments. He’s shown he has insane upside on some nights and it’s just about picking and choosing when to roll the dice on him. Tonight he faces an Indiana team that is good defensively against small forwards. However, over their last 10 games they have given up 49.6 FP per game to the position, which is 3rd worst in the league. I think tonight may be the night to plug Morris into your GPP lineup and watch him take control.

Blake Griffin ($9,500) – Griffin has not been exceeding his price tag over his last few games and his price is not going down to reflect it. Tonight is more than likely going to be a night where most fade Griffin as he goes up against Karl-Anthony Towns and the Minnesota Timberwolves. The reason he is a good tournament play should be relatively obvious. He’s Blake Griffin and carries ridiculous upside anytime he takes the court. He should have a low own % and be a great GPP play.

Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,900) – KAT will be facing the Clippers tonight in Minnesota and is, in my opinion, extremely over-priced. He’s obviously a very consistent center, having posted 7 consecutive game of at least 41+ fantasy points. However, in only 2 of those games did he reach his $10,900 price tag. There will definitely be fantasy points up for grabs tonight against a Clipper team that has been struggling to contain the center position over their last 10 games, giving up an average of 49.8 fantasy points in that time. He should score plenty; it’s just a matter of whether or not he can have a great game.

The pick of the day crushed value once again last night. Biyombo got a solid 28 fantasy points at his minimum price tag. Tonight, we are staying at the center position with Alan Williams on the Phoenix Suns. Tonight is a small slate and there isn’t too much value out there. The center position is fairly weak tonight, but Williams offers a lot of value at his price of $5,500. Expect him to be up around 30 fantasy points to trump his 5x value.

Cash Plays

John Wall ($10,200) – Wall’s price came down a bit after an “off performance” of 19 points, 10 assists, and 6 rebounds. He’s scored 40+ fantasy points in 11 of his last 13 games and gets to matchup tonight against a Phoenix Suns team that is giving up the most fantasy points to opposing PG’s in their last 5 games. The last time he faced Phoenix he greatly struggled from the field, shooting 6-24 in a 106-101 win in mid-November. Despite his poor shooting, he still managed to put up 57 fantasy points. He will have plenty of opportunities to get FP again tonight and should be in for a huge day.

Seth Curry ($6,200) – Curry has been one of the shooting guards I have rolled with a lot in my cash games as of late. It’s been an entire month since he last scored under 20 fantasy points and I don’t see him struggling to reach value tonight against an awful Lakers defense. He’ll be a very popular pick due to the small slate and his recent production. You’re definitely going to want to get him into your cash game lineup.

Maurice Harkless ($4,800) – Moe Harkless has been one of my favorite players to watch over the past week while he has filled in for the injured Evan Turner. He has put up at least 22 fantasy points in every game since the all-star break and his price has not gone up to reflect his recent production. Harkless should see 35+ minutes again tonight against an OKC team that has allowed the 11th most fantasy points to opposing small forwards over their last 10 games.

Enes Kanter ($5,800) – Tonight Enes Kanter gets a great matchup against a Portland team that has given up the 3rd most fantasy points to power forwards all season. Kanter hasn’t seen as many minutes since returning from injury, but against Portland last week he did see 28 minutes, which I think we can expect from him again tonight. Even in limited time he has been performing, though, putting up at least 29 fantasy points in 4 games since his return. At $5,800 he doesn’t even need 30 FP to reach value, but I think he should be able to get there against a bad Portland defense.

Jusuf Nurkic ($6,700) – Portland will be in OKC tonight to take on the Thunder, a team Nurkic abused for 51.4 fantasy points just last Thursday. In that game he played 38 minutes, the most he’s seen in a Trail Blazers uniform. Tonight, he’s likely to get the same run time because Portland will need him to matchup with Steven Adams inside. His price is getting up there due to his great play as of late, as he has scored at least 30 FP in 4 of his last 5 games. He shouldn’t have any issues reaching value tonight against an Oklahoma City team we’ve seen him do well against.

 

GPP Plays

Jordan Clarkson ($5,100) – With most of the Lakers backcourt attention on DeAngelo Russell tonight, Jordan Clarkson should fly under the radar. He’s been consistent coming out of the all-star break, averaging right around 25 fantasy points a game. That’s right around where you need him to hit to reach value tonight, but he’s shown he can put up closer to 35 on a good night. Dallas is great at guarding the point, but he has done well against them this year, averaging close to 16 points a game. Plug him in and hope Walton gives him some increased run time tonight.

Victor Oladipo (6,000) – Oladipo is a game time decision tonight, so definitely make sure to check and see if he’s playing/if he’ll be on any minute restrictions before plugging him into any of your lineups. That being said, all the other shooting guards around him seem like viable cash game picks, so Oladipo makes the most sense from a tournament perspective. If he does play, he’ll get a great matchup against a Portland defense that has been struggling to defend the shooting guard position of late. He’s really a shot in the dark, but if he does play I think he has the potential to make for a great GPP pick.

Bojan Bogdanovic ($4,000) – Bogdanovic has hit 27 fantasy points in 2 of his last 3 games and is in a great position to do the same tonight against the Phoenix Suns. Not only is Phoenix in the bottom half of the league when it comes to defending the SF, but the Suns have also been playing smaller as of late, which bodes well for Bojan when they match up tonight. The Suns are dead last in opponent 3-point shooting percentage this year and that is exactly Bogdanovic’s game. He’s only $4,000 and can easily hit 20 FP and reach value for your GPP lineup.

Al-Farouq Aminu ($5,400) – Despite the small slate, there are a variety of mid-range power forwards to choose from. The 3 players priced above Aminu (Nowitzki, Randle, Morris) should be relatively popular picks. However, Aminu’s price is in between mid-range play and value play, in my opinion. This leads me to believe his own % could suffer tonight, even on this small of a slate. He’s been doing well as of late, scoring 29+ fantasy points in 2 of his last 3 games. With a matchup against an average OKC defense he should be able to put up those numbers once again and reach value for your fantasy lineup.

Steven Adams ($5,700) – With so much of the attention on Jusuf Nurkic and Alan Willaims many will fade Adams tonight, despite his great matchup against Portland. The Trail Blazers have been awful at defending the big man positions and Adams should be able to exploit their weak spots tonight in what should be a close game. He should see some good run time and he has a chance to make up for his 8.2 fantasy point dud he had against them last week in Portland.

 

Yesterday’s pick of the day in Jaylen Brown crushed value. Lets keep the pick of the day producing by picking a guy in a fantastic position tonight. I’m rolling with Bismack Biyombo of the Orlando Magic. I made the mistake of picking Olynyk over Biyombo last night and it ended up being the reason why I lost. I will not be making the same mistake tonight. Lock Bismack in with his minimum price and watch crush  value tonight in a fantastic matchup at home against the Knicks.

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