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Author: FD-GURU

Yesterday’s pick of the day in Jaylen Brown crushed value. Lets keep the pick of the day producing by picking a guy in a fantastic position tonight. I’m rolling with Bismack Biyombo of the Orlando Magic. I made the mistake of picking Olynyk over Biyombo last night and it ended up being the reason why I lost. I will not be making the same mistake tonight. Lock Bismack in with his minimum price and watch crush  value tonight in a fantastic matchup at home against the Knicks.

Cash Plays

Ty Lawson ($4,600) – Lawson has been settling into his new role, starting the last 3 games for the Kings and posting no less than 26+ fantasy points and 32+ minutes in each of those contests. Tonight, Sacramento faces a Denver defense that has given up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing points guards all season. The game should see a lot of scoring and not a whole lot of defense, allowing Lawson to have plenty of chances at fantasy points for your lineup. He shouldn’t have a problem scoring 25 FP tonight and reaching value for your team.

Klay Thompson ($7,000) – Klay had a sub-par performance against Chicago on Wednesday, posting only 13.7 fantasy points in 37 minutes of action. However, he came back against the Knicks last night and put up 36.3 FP, once again seeing 37 minutes of run time. His bounce back performance proved he is still a viable option in your cash game lineups as long as Kevin Durant is out. The Warriors will be facing an Atlanta Hawks team that have given up the 11th most fantasy points to shooting guards this season.

Jimmy Butler ($9,100) – Dwayne Wade has been ruled out tonight with a thigh injury. When Wade sits, Jimmy Butler’s usage goes through the roof. The last two games in which Wade didn’t suit up, Jimmy put up 45 fantasy points twice, which I think is his floor tonight against the Pistons. Detroit is pretty good defending the small forward, but being that these two teams are separated in the Eastern Conference by 1 game (the 7th and 8th seeds), it’s safe to say it should be a high intensity game that Jimmy Butler tries to take over.

Aaron Gordon ($5,200) – With Vucevic out last night, Gordon was able to help and pick up some of the slack, putting up 32.7 FP over 35 minutes. He has been settling in nicely as the Magic starting power forward, posting at least 26 fantasy points in 4 of the 5 games since Ibaka left. The down performance (16 fantasy points) did come against the same Knicks team the Magic will square off with tonight. However, I don’t see Gordon having any issues this time around against a New York team that is in the bottom 10 in the league in fantasy points given up to the PF position over their last 10 games.

Bismack Biyombo ($3,500) – I rolled with Biyombo last night in my cash game lineup and he didn’t disappoint, reaching value by the end of the first quarter. Tonight, he will get another spot start as Nikola Vucevic sits out will a sore Achilles. Biyombo will be heavily owned because of his performance last night and is, in my opinion, the must-start of the night. His price didn’t move and he should have absolutely no problem getting at least 20 fantasy points and reach value for your team, though I expect him to get much more.

 

GPP Plays

Jeff Teague ($7,300) – With a variety of high-priced point guards to reach up for, it appears it’s going to be one of those nights where the middle-priced PG’s don’t get much attention. This bodes well for Jeff Teague, who has only reached value for his $7,300 price tag once in his last 5 games. The Pacers will be squaring off with a Charlotte Hornets team that are middle-of-the-road defending the point this season. The last time Teague faced them he recorded a 16 point and 11 assist double-double. He should be able to once again exploit the Hornets weak spots tonight at the Spectrum Center.

Eric Gordon ($5,000) – I would assume many will pass on Gordon tonight given the fact that he has a matchup with the Spurs in San Antonio. It’s obviously well known the Spurs are a great defense team. However, they have struggled this year against the shooting guard. Against all others position they rank in the top 5 in fantasy points allowed. Against the SG, though, they are in the bottom half of the league, giving up the 12th most points to the position. Gordon has been able to score against them in the 3 meetings this year, averaging 18.3 points per game. The recent acquisition of Lou Williams obviously makes things a little different in the Rocket’s backcourt this go around, but Gordon should be able to reach his price tag and bring serious upside considering his scoring potential.

Danilo Gallinari ($6,600) – Tonight, Gallinari and the Nuggets get to matchup against a Kings team that have given up the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing small forwards over their last 5 games. Nikola Jokic is questionable tonight, and if he ends up sitting, Gallinari’s usage and upside would both see a significant boost. Even if Jokic does play, however, Gallo should see no problem reaching value for your GPP lineup.

Zach Randolph ($6,300) – Randolph is seeing right around 25 minutes a game and doing a lot with it, posting lines of 35.2, 35.6, and 41 fantasy points last week. He gets a great matchup tonight against a Nets team that are allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this year. Despite his recent production, his down game 2 nights ago against the Rockets is likely to push people away from him, making him a solid tournament option with a great matchup.

Hassan Whiteside ($8,700) – There’s quite a few big man value options to choose from tonight so I don’t expect Fanduel players to reach up at the center position. Even if they do reach up, though, I don’t expect it to be for Hassan Whiteside. This is good news for him in tournament lineups, as he brings serious 50+ point fantasy upside any night he plays. Lately, he has been relatively consistent, posting 8 double-doubles in his last 9 games. They’ll need him to be on the court tonight as the Heat match up with the physical Tristan Thompson and a tough Cavs team that will have LeBron and Kyrie active. Whiteside could be in for a huge game at Quicken Loans Arena.

 

Pick of the day has still yet to disappoint since the All-Star break. I’m going with Jaylen Brown on the Celtics tonight, as he should see a lot usage on the court with no Bradley or Horford. Brown is settling in very nicely as a rookie and is coming into his own as a Celtic. His price tag is nice and low tonight and should be up around that 20 point value he needs. Expect him to excel in an above average matchup tonight against the Suns.

Cash Plays

DeAngelo Russell ($6,400) – Russell has seen a good increase in both his usage and overall numbers since Lou Williams got traded. He had some duds before the all-star break, but since then he has averaged 21.8 points per game to go along with 5 straight games of 25+ fantasy points. Tonight he gets to go up against Jrue Holiday and the New Orleans Pelicans, who are giving up the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

Seth Curry ($6,300) – Seth Curry has now strung together 5 games of at least 30 fantasy points. During that time, he has averaged a whopping 36.4 minutes per game. Wesley Matthews said he would return tonight, but that shouldn’t stop Curry from seeing 30+ minutes yet again due to his recent production. Curry is a safe cash game pick tonight when the Mavs take on the Thunder at American Airlines Center.

T.J. Warren ($5,500) – Another guy with recent success I’ll be looking to get into my lineups is T.J. Warren of the Phoenix Suns. He’s been extremely consistent since P.J. Tucker left Phoenix, averaging 17.6 points and 6.8 rebounds as the Suns go to small forward. It appears the great scoring numbers Warren had to start the year are back in full effect, and it is likely he is heavily owned tonight as many will take advantage of his still low price tag. The Suns will be squaring of with the Celtics tonight, a team that has actually given up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing small forwards over their last 5 games. Definitely look to get Warren into your cash game lineups against Boston.

Anthony Davis ($11,200) – I think Westbrook is a bit too pricey for me tonight, but the next highest priced guy on the slate, Anthony Davis, is a player I definitely have on my radar tonight. He has posted 53+ fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games, proving that the addition of DeMarcus Cousins is doing little to stifle his fantasy production. Actually, since Cousins has arrived Davis has averaged 33.6 points to go along with 10.6 rebounds a game. Tonight, he gets a matchup with a Lakers team that have given up the 2nd most fantasy points to both the power forward and center positions this year. Plug Davis into your cash game lineups and watch him feast.

Alan Williams ($6,000) – Alex Len may still be the starter, but Alan Williams is the center the Suns are looking to give 30+ minutes to lately. He has put up 3 games of at least 33 fantasy points over his last 4 going into his matchup tonight against the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are pretty average when it comes to guarding the center. However, the reason why I like Williams tonight is because they aren’t particularly good at stopping opposing big men from grabbing boards, as they are 7th worst in the league in rebounds given up per game to opposing centers. Considering Williams has shown he’s a great rebounder (he’s averaging 10.8 in his last 5 games in which he’s seen 20+ minutes), I don’t see him having a problem scoring 30 fantasy points yet again tonight and reaching value for your team.

 

GPP Plays

Darren Collison ($5,500) – Between Collison and Ty Lawson you never really know who’s going to step up for the Kings backcourt on any given night. However, considering Collison is the Kings starter and go to #1 option while Buddy Hield still developing I’m going to have to go with him tonight against a tough Utah Jazz defense. At $5,500 Collison will need roughly 25-30 FP to reach value for your team, which he shouldn’t have a problem doing with his recent increase in usage due to DeMarcus Cousin’s departure. Collison should be very low owned tonight and a great point guard option in your tournament lineups.

Nick Young ($4,100) – Nick Young hasn’t scored over 15 fantasy points in his last 5 games and will be passed on by just about everyone tonight. At his price point I don’t think there’s too much risk considering his average is around 19 fantasy points per game, and that’s around what he needs to reach value tonight. When he faced New Orleans earlier in the year he was able to put up 15 points, 2 assists, and a rebound in only 20 minutes of action. It’s a small sample size, but he didn’t seem to have a problem scoring against the Pelicans weak backcourt defense. He’s shown he has crazy upside and could be a great play tonight in GPP lineups. Use him at your own risk.

Jae Crowder ($5,900) – Crowder is a guy that shouldn’t be too owned tonight for his matchup against Phoenix. The Suns are in the bottom half of the league in fantasy points given up to opposing small forwards and Crowder is now priced under $6,000. If there was a time to get Crowder into your tournament lineup I think it would be tonight against Phoenix.

Markieff Morris ($6,800) – Markieff Morris has the yellow “GTD” badge next to his name for tonight’s matchup against the Orlando Magic, though he is expected to play considering he only has a left thigh bruise. The Magic are last in the league over their last 10 games in fantasy points given up to opposing power forwards. Morris has serious upside tonight against them and should have a low own % to go along with it.

Steven Adams ($5,700) – Adams hasn’t played particularly well coming out of the all-star break, posting less than 20 fantasy point twice in 5 games. I do like him tonight, however, against a Dallas Mavericks defense that has struggled to defend the center position over their last 5 games, giving up 49.8 FP a game. If the Thunder can work him into the offense tonight he should be able to get 25-30 fantasy points and reach value for your GPP lineup.

Cash Plays

Kemba Walker ($8,500) – Kemba Walker has one of my favorite matchups tonight against a Denver defense that is giving up 111.4 points per game, which is 3rd worst in the league. He has put up at least 38 fantasy points in 6 of his last 7 games and shouldn’t have any trouble getting between 40-50 again tonight. Look for ways to get him into your lineup.

James Harden ($11,500) – Harden is reasonably priced coming off a sub-par performance, and his success against the Memphis Grizzlies this year makes it difficult to pass on him. The Grizzlies are obviously a good defensive team, but he should have no trouble flirting with 60+ fantasy points if he can keep his turnovers down. Other than that, it’s hard to find an excuse to fade Harden at home tonight.

Moe Harkless ($4,800) – Moe Harkless is going to be a popular pick yet again tonight when the Blazers take on the Nets in Portland. Fanduel is slow in raising Moe’s price even though he has hit 20+ fantasy points in his last 4 games, while also logging at least 34 minutes in each of those contests. The Nets are last in the league this year in fantasy points allowed to opposing small forwards, and have been particularly bad over their last 5 games, giving up an average of 47.1 per game to the position. Harkless should have no trouble reaching value tonight against Brooklyn’s lackluster defense.

Marvin Williams ($5,700) – With Frank Kaminsky out tonight with an AC join sprain, the Hornets are going to look to Williams to help with production out of the power forward position. This increase in usage should make him a popular cash game play tonight against the Nuggets, who are giving up the 7th most fantasy points to opposing power forwards since the all-star break.

Jusuf Nurkic ($6,400) – His price is on the rise, but for good reason. Nurkic has put up at least 30 fantasy points in 3 of his last 4 games and draws a fantastic matchup tonight against the Brooklyn Nets, who give up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing centers. Portland has been implementing him more and more into their game plan, giving him back to back games of 35+ minutes. He should see that once again as long as Brooklyn can keep this one somewhat close. He needs around 30 fantasy points to reach value for your lineup and I don’t see him having any trouble doing that tonight.

 

GPP Plays

Malcolm Brogdon ($5,200) – Brogdon was a popular play in the middle of the year with Dellavedova out, but since then he has really slipped people’s minds. He hasn’t done anything superb for the Bucks, but he also hasn’t done anything to disappoint. With most people looking for other point guard options, Brogdon has a low own % night in and night out. Tonight, he matches up with a Raptors squad that is currently thin at the PG position. He needs 25 to reach value and should be able to do that if he sees his usual 25-30 minutes.

Lou Willaims ($6,100) – Lou William’s streak of consecutive games with at least 20 fantasy points ended at 13 last night against the Clippers. He’s had a good start to his Rockets career, but his bad performance last night is likely to draw people away from him. His price is a bit up due to his recent production, but nothing he can’t handle. He needs about 30 to reach value tonight and brings serious upside if you use him in your GPP lineup.

Andrew Wiggins ($7,900) – Tonight Wiggins matches up against a tough Spurs team, leading me to believe many will pass on the young star. He’s had great production with Zach LaVine out, posting 40 fantasy points regularly. He had his worst performance in a while on Wednesday against the Jazz, adding to the likelihood that many will pass on him. It seems like a risky play, but Wiggins recent production leads me to believe he can hit 40 fantasy points tonight and reach value for your GPP lineup.

Ryan Anderson ($4,900) – Ryan Anderson is always one of my favorite GPP plays because of his inconsistency but nice upside. The only risk I can find is that sometimes D’Antoni only gives him minutes in the low 20’s, though this shouldn’t be a problem considering he’s averaged 30.5 minutes when Houston has faced off with Memphis this year. He should easily score 25 fantasy points tonight if he’s given that kind of run time and brings a lot of scoring potential along with him.

Tristan Thompson ($6,100) – He’s a bit pricey for how I usually view his production, but with most Fanduel players likely to pass on him tonight, Thompson could be the dark horse center that helps GPP lineups get to the top. Hassan Whiteside’s inside play should keep Thompson around the rim, offering him a chance at some extra boards, which is where his fantasy production generally stems from. If you’re looking for a middle-priced center for GPP, go with Thompson.

Cash Plays

 Isaiah Thomas ($9,800) – Thomas and the Celtics get the late game matchup tonight against the Lakers in Los Angeles. When the 2 teams squared off in early February, Thomas was able to score 38 points over 38 minutes. The Lakers were able to keep that one close in Boston, losing with a final score of 113-107. If the Lakers can play with the same intensity and keep this one close at home, Thomas will once again log heavy minutes. The Lakers are last in the league over their last 10 games, giving up almost 50 fantasy points to opposing PG’s. Thomas should be able to feast tonight against their weak defense.

Seth Curry ($6,200) – Seth Curry has been the definition of consistent, posting 4 straight games of at least 31 fantasy points. Coincidentally, that’s exactly what you need from him to reach value tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies. Tony Allen is a lockdown defender, but it’s hard for me to fade Curry when he should see 35+ minutes and more usage with Wesley Matthews still ruled out.

TJ Warren ($5,400) – Warren has now posted 5 straight games of at least 25 fantasy points and gets a matchup tonight against an Oklahoma City team that gives up the 9th most points to opposing small forwards. As predicted, Warren’s price went up a bit. This shouldn’t change the fact that he’ll more than likely be a popular cash game pick, though, considering he only needs 25-30 fantasy points to reach value for your lineup.

Dario Saric ($7,300) – Saric had an off day last night against the Heat, posting only 17.2 FP over 28 minutes. This will likely push many fanduel owners to other options at the power forward position. However, Saric’s matchup against the Knicks tonight is too good for me to pass up. New York is giving up the 8th most fantasy points in the league to the PF position over their last 10 games, and Saric is a large part of why. Last Saturday in New York he put up 19 points to go along with 15 rebounds and 5 assists en route to a 40.5 fantasy night. The Knicks give up 108.8 points per game, so this contest should be high scoring and give Saric a good chance to have another great performance at home tonight.

Rudy Gobert ($7500) – Gobert had a down game against Karl-Anthony Towns and the Timberwolves on Wednesday. Prior to that game, however, he had posted 13 straight games of at least 30 fantasy points. He’s in a great position for a bounce-back game tonight against a Brooklyn Nets team that is allowing the 4th most fantasy points to opposing centers this season.

 

GPP Plays

Elfrid Payton ($5,500) – With another down game from Payton many are likely to look elsewhere at the PG position tonight. He gets a tough matchup against a Miami Heat team that is great at defending the point, adding to his risk. However, when he played the Heat on February 13th he was able to post 32 FP over 31 minutes. If he can come anywhere close to that again tonight he’ll reach value and be well worth his price tag.

Courtney Lee ($5,000) – Lee has posted 2 games of 14 FP and 2 games of 36+ fantasy points over his last 4 games. One of those 14 point games did come against the same 76er team he faces tonight, but he did only see 24 minutes in that game. He’s likely to see closer to 35 minutes tonight and, considering his matchup, I think he can easily hit 25 and reach value for your team while offering considerable upside.

Joe Ingles ($3,700) – Rodney Hood is out once again and Joe Ingles is looking at yet another start. His matchup tonight against Brooklyn doesn’t get any better, as they are last in the league in both points per game and fantasy points per game given up to opposing small forwards. Ingles offers huge cap relief at $3,700 and allows you to reach up for a guy like Westbrook, who shouldn’t be ridiculously owned at his high price.

Nerlens Noel ($5,300) – Noel is getting a start tonight at center as the Mavs switch their rotation around and move Barnes and Dirk to the 3 + 4 positions. As a Maverick, he hasn’t done anything spectacular, but he also hasn’t disappointed considering they haven’t given him too much of a chance yet. Tonight could be his chance, though, against a tough Memphis Grizzlies team. They allow the least fantasy points per game to opposing centers, which adds risk to Noel. He shouldn’t be too owned tonight so look for him as a PF option in your GPP lineups.

Marcin Gortat ($6,300) – People are going to be quick to pass on Gortat tonight since he only put up 22.1 FP last game, which also happened to be against the Raptors. However, he put up 12 points and 8 rebounds in only 18 minutes of work. The Raptors essentially blew the Wizards out, though the final score of 105-96 doesn’t show it. Tonight, I expect the Raptors to come out and compete at a higher level on the road, allowing the Wizards to utilize Gortat more than they did on Wednesday.

 

 

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