Each week, we’ll dive into Fanduel’s main slate to highlight some of the juiciest matchups and situations to exploit. Whether it’s finding the low(er)-owned gems in a popular upcoming shootout or identifying an overlooked clash that DFSers can use to gain leverage over a tournament field, our aim is to provide you the individual plays and overall strategy to consider as you chase profitability in your DFS portfolio. Let’s jump in.
Cardinals at Packers (-14, 43.5)
We’re going to kick off this week’s plays with one that may be a bit obvious on certain levels, but with a fully-stocked main slate, there will be a number of attractive options to choose from and only so many lineup spots in which to fit them. Aaron Jones ($7,600) has been over 15 FanDuel points in four of his last five contests and the Cardinals allow the highest percentage of opponents yardage to come on the ground. Not only that, but we’re also talking about a matchup in which the Packers are an overwhelming home favorite. This isn’t a case where Jones should be expected to see low ownership, but the matchup pieces are there to warrant heavier ownership within your Week 13 DFS portfolio.
Chiefs (-14.5, 55.5) at Raiders
What was shaping up to be another obvious play has since become anything but a sure shot. Kareem Hunt ($8,900) was sent home from the Chiefs facility after video of a February 2018 altercation was released, putting his status for Sunday’s succulent matchup against the Raiders in jeopardy. This situation obviously requires monitoring, but should Hunt be active on Sunday, he’s another player who should be locked into your lineups. Not only are the Chiefs massive favorites, but the over/under of 55 is tied for tops on the slate. If Hunt is held out of action, Spencer Ware ($5,200) may very well be the highest owned player across the site. We know Ware can produce when given the touches, but fading him in tournaments is worth consideration. There’s certainly risk in such a maneuver, but with such a high percentage of the field expected to be on him in that scenario, it presents a prime opportunity to zig while everyone else zags and potentially gain significant leverage over your competitors.
Broncos (-5, 45) at Bengals
The Broncos hit the road as five-point favorites against the team that has surrendered the most total yardage all season. Of those 4,836 yards, a healthy 33.5 percent have come on the ground. Enter Phillip Lindsay ($7,000), who’s seen 15, 21, 19, 15 and 14 touches over his last five games. While fantasy owners would prefer their players to more consistently cross the 20-touch threshold, Lindsay’s productivity can’t be denied as he’s scored at least 16.1 FD points in four of those five contests. Even with a workload in the 17-20-touch range, Linsday has a reasonably good shot of delivering 3x value in this favorable matchup.
Bears (-3.5, 44.5) at Giants
With a number of ground options covered, let’s take to the air and hitch some of our Week 13 DFS dreams to Eli Manning ($6,500). The matchup doesn’t look great on its surface, but the Bears ($4,800) — who are worth stacking with Manning — have been most vulnerable through the air. Meanwhile, the Giants use the pass to gain nearly three quarters of their overall yardage. Additionally, Manning has been quite efficient of late, averaging 8.37 yards per attempt over his last five contests and has topped 17 FD points three times over that stretch. If you find that your lineup doesn’t offer the type of differentiation necessary to give yourself a shot at a high tourney finish, Manning is someone that you should be considering. If you’re looking for a receiver to stack him with, you can add another wrinkle at your opponents by throwing Sterling Shepard ($5,400) into your lineup as the Bears have allowed the fourth most yardage to No. 2 receivers. You don’t have to stretch your imagination too far to envision a scenario in which the Bears — like any other opponent — do everything in their power to slow down Odell Beckham Jr. at the expense of favorable coverage on secondary pass-catchers.