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Author: FD-GURU

Pick of the day continues to crush 5x value. Lets keep the streak going by picking Paul George of the Indiana Pacers. George has been in fantastic form since the all-star break and is finally starting to live up to his hype. He sees a great matchup tonight against the Knicks, which should be an up-tempo game. George needs 40 fantasy points to get value tonight, which shouldn’t be an issue at all. Lock George in tonight at SF.

Cash Plays

Russell Westbrook ($13,400) – A 5 game slate with Russell Westbrook in play generally leads him to have a high ownership. Mix that with the fact that he’s playing the Brooklyn Nets tonight and you have a night where most will probably not be fading the 28-year-old fantasy star. His price is over 13k, but for good reason. He’s posted over 70 fantasy points in 3 of his last 5 games and is averaging 68.2 FP over that same time frame. He’s definitely going to be owned tonight so make sure to get him into your cash game lineups.

Klay Thompson ($7,200) – There was one hiccup in his last 4 games in which Thompson posted under 20 fantasy points (17.5 to be exact). However, in the other 3 he has hit 40 or been very close to it, proving he has actually been the more consistent player for his price tag since Kevin Durant went down with an injury. He’ll need 36 fantasy points to reach value tonight against a 76ers team that is giving up over 46 fantasy points to shooting guards over their last 10 games.

Paul George ($8,100) – George is probably going to be a player many people target at the small forward position tonight due to his recent consistency. He has posted at least 30 FP in his last 7 games and gets a matchup tonight against a Knicks team that is giving up over 50 fantasy points to the position over their last 5 games. George’s price is right tonight as he takes on the Knicks in Madison Square Garden, so make sure to lock him into your cash game lineups.

Kristaps Porzingis ($6,600) – Kristaps has had a great start to the month on March, posting no less that 24 FP in his first 7 games and putting up over 40 fantasy points in 3 of them. Tonight he gets a matchup at home against the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have a great individual defender at the power forward position in Thad Young, but overall against the PF position this year they are in the bottom half of the league in fantasy points given up. The Knicks also go small frequently, allowing Porzingis to play stretch center. Because of this, I don’t think Young will give him any troubles and he should easily hit his 5x value by getting you over 30 fantasy points.

Jusuf Nurkic ($6,600) – Nurkic’s price is back down under 7k for his matchup against the Pelicans tonight, which is great news from a fantasy perspective. The 22-year-old Bosnian is a rising star in the league, and his fantasy production is backing it up. He’s posted over 30 FP in 7 of his last 8 games and had a massive 77 FP outburst against the 76ers last week. He’s proven that he is a consistent cash game play and is the center I will be targeting tonight in my cash game lineups.

 

GPP Plays

Steph Curry ($10,100) – With everybody reaching up for Russell Westbrook tonight it’s only reasonable to assume most will not occupy their 2nd point guard position with another high-priced play like Steph Curry. This rules him out of cash game consideration, but makes him an ideal GPP play. He hasn’t produced like many thought he would since the Durant injury, but that also means he’s due for a big game. A matchup with the 76ers tonight puts him in a great position to produce, and he’ll need over 50 FP to be a solid tournament play.

Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot ($3,700) – Luwawu-Cabarrot has been seeing some increased minutes lately, averaging 30 over his last 2 games. It appears the Sixers are going to be implementing him more and more into the game plan and I think it’s only logical to use him as a GPP punt play tonight with his price still down under 4k. Given that he has produced in the court time he has been given I think it’s safe to say he’ll see at least 25 minutes again tonight, so he’s definitely a guy I’m going to consider in tournaments.

Solomon Hill ($3,600) – An inconsistent guy. There isn’t really much else to say about Solomon Hill. The Boogie trade to New Orleans hasn’t done too much to effect his minutes, though, as he still see roughly 30 a game. The real problem is simply in his offensive production, as he generally puts up under 10 points a game to go along with an average of 15 FP. However, he’s only $3,600 tonight and the guy has shown that he has 30+ fantasy point potential if he’s got his offensive game going. He’s as risky as a player can get, so use him at your own risk. But, I do believe he has the potential for a huge game against a lackluster Trail Blazers defense.

Tobias Harris ($6,000) – Harris has a “game time decision” stamp next to his name tonight and I think many are likely to pass on him because of it. However, he is expected to play today after being held out of practice yesterday. He’s been extremely consistent over his last 6 games, posting at least 27 fantasy points in each those contests. On Saturday he erupted for a monster 47.9 fantasy points against the Knicks and I think will be excited to keep his hot streak going tonight against the Cavaliers, a team that has actually been giving up a lot of fantasy points to opposing power forwards over their last 10 games. Make sure he’s playing before you lock him in, but if he is I love him tonight in tournaments.

Jahlil Okafor ($5,200) – Okafor has been playing well over his last 3 games, but I don’t necessarily think his price reflects that. He posted 26+ fantasy points in every game last week and draws a matchup tonight against a Golden State Warriors team that gives up 47 FP to centers per game. Okafor should easily flirt with 30+ fantasy points and has the potential to even get you over 40, making him an ideal play for his price tag.

Last night’s Pick of the Day in Kristaps Porzingis once again crushed his price tag for over 6x value. Tonight, though, we’ll be going with more of a value play in Patty Mills of the San Antonio Spurs. Mills got the spot start 2 nights ago with Tony Parker injured and put up 30.4 fantasy points in only 21 minutes of action. Tonight, however, expect him to see upwards of 30 minutes with Parker and Dejounte Murray still sidelined. He’ll be facing an Atlanta Hawks team that doesn’t contain point guards very well, especially over their last 10 games in which they’ve given up an average of 52 fantasy points per game to the position. Expect him to reach 5x value tonight by getting upwards of 30 fantasy points.

Cash Plays

Patty Mills ($4,000) – Patty Mills was one of my stack players in the SA/GS game a few nights ago with all the stars out, expecting him to be a good value option that could hit 15-20 FP. He surprised me, however, by dropping 30 fantasy points for the 2nd time in 3 games. Tonight, Tony Parker and Dejounte Murray are out yet again, allowing Mills to see as much court time as he can possibly handle. His price is only up to $4,000 and I think he will be the most heavily owned player on the slate. Make sure to get him into your lineups.

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,700) – Giannis is the highest priced player on this slate along with John Wall. With no Westbrook, Harden, or LeBron I already feel his ownership will be slightly increased, but I’m mainly going to focus on his matchup tonight. The Memphis Grizzlies have struggled to defend point guards and shooting guards since the all-star break, as they are in the bottom 4 in fantasy points given up to both positions over that time. Specifically over their last 5 games they have given up 54.2 fantasy points a game to the shooting guard position, and 4 of those 5 shooting guards they faced were no where close to the skill set Giannis possesses. He should easily keep their streak of bad games going tonight at the FedEx Forum.

Brandon Ingram ($4,000) – Ingram reached value last night against the 76ers, but somehow his price went back down to 4k. Rather than mull over this, however, I’m going to talk about the fact that he has now posted at least 22 fantasy points in 4 straight games and draws a matchup with the Denver Nuggets tonight, a team that he dropped 33 fantasy points on the last time they met. Denver is currently giving up the 4th most points in the league at 110.9 per game and I think this is an ideal matchup for Ingram. At the very least, he’ll offer value at the small forward position so you can reach up at other areas.

Nikola Jokic ($10,000) – Jokic is the beneficiary of a matchup with the Los Angeles Lakers tonight, a team that has given up the most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season. This is a game I may be looking to stack just because there shouldn’t be any defense, meaning there will be plenty of fantasy points to go around for everybody. At Jokic’s 10k price he needs around 50 fantasy points to reach value. With Faried doubtful tonight and Wilson Chandler looking like he may not be able to play either I think Jokic should easily exceed his price tag. Even if one of them does play, though, I think he will still have a great game on the road tonight in Denver.

Karl Anthony-Towns ($10,500) – I’m sorry for another high-priced pick but I think KAT is in a great spot to do well tonight against the Washington Wizards tonight. He is getting between 40-50 fantasy points just about every game and, for a guy with his price tag, I’m not exactly expecting him to reach his full value every single night (which would be over 50 FP). His consistency mixed with his star potential make him a great play any day, my salary is just generally used up by higher priced guys like Westbrook or Harden. With KAT being one of the most expensive guys tonight he is definitely on my cash game pick radar and I’m going to do everything I can to get him into my lineup.

 

GPP Plays

Kemba Walker ($8,400) – Walker’s production has made him a DFS monster over the last 2 weeks. He has put up 40+ fantasy points in 6 of his last 7 games and gets a matchup tonight against the Chicago Bulls in Charlotte. The Bulls are giving up 56.7 FP a game to the point guard position over their last 5 games and facing Kemba Walker will not be the solution to any of their problems. He needs 42 to reach value tonight, which he should have absolutely no trouble doing for the 7th time in 2 weeks.

Buddy Hield ($4,200) – It’s hard to say where Hield’s own % will fall tonight because we’ve seen his minutes fluctuate while on the Kings. With such a crowded backcourt in Sacramento it’s kind of amazing he even sees 20 minutes a game, but I think that is the minimum he’ll see tonight against Orlando. I’m focusing mainly on his minutes because if he’s given the court time he is a fantastic play, which is what we’ve seen over the last 2 games. In both contests he’s seen 30+ minutes and racked up 23+ fantasy points, which are both well above his averages. If Joerger keeps working him into the rotation we’re going to see his price start to steadily rise over the next few weeks. I think tonight is a good night to roll with Hield considering he’s still around 4k and the Kings have liked what they’ve seen out of their new rookie, meaning they are likely to keep giving him the court time he deserves.

Kent Bazemore ($4,300) – Bazemore always seems to play well against the exact teams you think he would struggle against, like the San Antonio Spurs team he faces tonight. The Spurs guard against the small forward position very well, so if Bazemore wants to do well he’s going to have his work cut out for him. He hasn’t been spectacular of late, but also hasn’t been awful considering his price tag. He hasn’t scored less than 16 FP in his last 4 games and he only needs around 21 to reach value tonight. I personally believe he carries significant upside with him and could be a great GPP play tonight in San Antonio.

Blake Griffin ($9,100) – No one is going to be rushing to get Blake Griffin into their lineups tonight given that he has a matchup against the Jazz, who are by far the best defensive team in the league. However, in his last matchup with them he put up a 26 point/10 rebound double-double and Los Angeles slipped by Utah 88-72. That game was in Utah, which is exactly where the Clippers will be tonight to take on the Jazz in their 4th and final meeting of the season. Griffin should have a low own % tonight and makes for an ideal GPP play.

DeAndre Jordan ($7,400) – I’m going to keep my GPP center pick in Los Angeles and go with DeAndre Jordan of the Clippers. Coming off one of his best games of the season on Saturday (a 19 point/20 rebound effort against the 76ers), Jordan is probably eager to keep his hot streak going. He’ll have the same difficult task as Griffin going up against a tough Utah Jazz team. Part of the reason the Jazz are so good against big men is because they can stop the rebound game. However, in his last 2 meetings with them Jordan has put up 16 and 13 rebounds, while also averaging close to 10 points per game. Long story short, he keeps his season averages the same against them and carries some insane upside, like when we saw when he put up 57 fantasy points just last game.

Cash Plays

Damian Lillard ($9,000) – Lillard has scored 35+ fantasy points in his last 8 games and draws my favorite matchup of the night in the Suns. Phoenix has given up close to 64 FP a game to opposing point guards over their last 10 games and Lillard is in a great position to keep that streak going for them. With his price only up to $9,000 I think he will still be a heavily owned cash game play and is a guy I will be looking to get into my lineups tonight.

James Harden ($11,700) – Harden is the highest price player on tonight’s slate and definitely a guy I am not looking to fade. The last time he met with the Cavaliers was November of 2016, a game in which he put up over 70 fantasy points. That game was in Cleveland, but tonight he gets to matchup with them in Houston. It will be yet another night in which the Rockets rely heavily on Harden to keep them in the game, and I expect him to exceed his price tag of $11,700. He should get over 60 FP, but even if he doesn’t he will be a heavily owned guy that aren’t going to want to pass on tonight.

Maurice Harkless ($4,800) – This man is the definition of consistent. He has posted over 20 fantasy points in 9 of his last 10 games (the one he didn’t was a 19.8 FP effort against Utah). His price has been $4,800 for a while now and he only needs 24 to reach value for your lineup. There is absolutely no reason why he should struggle to do this with the court time he is given while Evan Turner is sidelined. He should see roughly 35 minutes again tonight against a Suns defense that is middle of the road when it comes to defending small forwards.

Kristaps Porzingis ($6,400) – Porzingis and the Knicks will be in Brooklyn tonight to take on the Nets, a team that is last or close to last in the league in fantasy points given up to every position. Against power forwards they are 2nd worst in the league, giving up an average of 48.5 FP per game. Kristaps needs right around 32 to reach value for your lineup, and he shouldn’t have a problem doing that tonight at Barclay’s Center.

Alan Williams ($5,600) – Williams had a “bad” game last night in Dallas, putting up 22.5 fantasy points over 26 minutes. He’s seen a reduction in his court time over the last 3 games, going from 30+ in early March to minutes in the mid-20’s over his last 3 games. Tonight, Portland will be in town and I think Earl Watson will want to utilize Alan Williams’ ability to crash the boards to take chances away from the Trail Blazers rising star in Jusuf Nurkic. These are two guys I have heavily targeted in cash games over the last 2 weeks, but with Nurkic’s price now up over 7k I think Williams is the better option, which we will get to see tonight in Phoenix.

 

GPP Plays

Patrick Beverley ($5,400) – I love Patrick Beverley because he is a complete all-around point guard. He basically averages 10/5/5 and has had multiple games of 35+ to show upside for his price. He’s a very physical player and the Rockets are going to need to be physical tonight against a Cleveland Cavaliers team that is 1st in the Eastern Conference. He’s playing decently well of late as well, posting 26+ fantasy points in 5 of his last 8 games. He needs right around that number to reach value tonight and I think he is an ideal tournament play at his price.

Allen Crabbe ($3,800) – The Phoenix/Portland game has the highest team total of the night at 235. There are going to be so many fantasy points up for grabs tonight that I don’t really see anyone from this game being a bad play, but as far as who I really like I’m going to go with Allen Crabbe at $3,800. He has posted at least 24 fantasy points in his last 3 games and his price doesn’t reflect his recent production. He’s been seeing right around 30 minutes a game and I think we can expect that from him again tonight. He needs 19 to reach value for your fantasy lineup, but if he has his shot working I see him getting much more.

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson ($4,300) – I’m going to keep the GPP picks rolling with another value play in Rondae Hollis-Jefferson. He hasn’t been particularly good over his last few games, but that definitely means he is due to produce tonight against a New York Knicks team that has been giving up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing small forwards over their last 5 games. He’s shown he has 30+ fantasy point upside, it just depends on how the Nets want to work him into the offense.

Larry Nance Jr. ($4,200) – I like any big man anytime they get a matchup with the 76ers, and that is the exact position Nance is in tonight. The power forward is priced just above 4k on Fanduel, but if he can put together a good game tonight his price should go up given that he would have a streak of good games going, having just posted 27.6 against the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. If he is given the court time tonight I don’t see him having a trouble scoring 20 FP for your lineup and carrying serious upside for much more.

Ivaca Zubac ($4,000) – I’m going to keep my GPP center pick in LA and go with Ivaca Zubac. If you know anything about the Lakers you know that after Zubac has an okay game they like to give him a little extra run time the next time they take the court, and that is exactly what I think they are going to do tonight against the Philadelphia 76ers. He put up 14 points in 17 minutes the other night against the Suns, a nationally televised game that left many NBA fans wondering who the 19-year-old Croatian player even was. He is still a fairly risky pick tonight given that there is no guarantee Walton gives him increased run time, but I really like his matchup if he is given some court time.

Ian Clark crushed yesterday as he got over 11x his value which is the most of the season! I had never seen a minimum salary player get 40 fantasy points until last night. Tonight, I’m picking Kristaps Porzingis of the New York Knicks. Porzingis has been in good form recently and draws a fantastic matchup tonight against the Nets. They are in Brooklyn so they will need his scoring production in order to win. Both of these teams are bad, so their shouldn’t be any blow out worries. I don’t see anyone on the Nets giving Porzingis issues scoring the basketball. Porzingis is also coming off of a 6 block game yesterday and should get some blocks against a Nets team that runs a lot of their offense through their big men. Expect Porzingis to reach his 5x value by getting a little over 30 fantasy points tonight.

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