Author: FD-GURU

Cash Plays

Jerian Grant ($4,000) – My favorite low-priced point guard of the night is Jerian Grant of the Chicago Bulls. Rajon Rondo is out again for the Bulls matchup with the Orlando Magic, a team giving up the 4th most fantasy points to point guards over their last 10 games (54.5). Filling in for Rondo over the last 2 games he’s posted 30+ minutes and 35.1 and 28.1 fantasy points, respectively. He’ll have another shot to succeed tonight as the Bulls look to secure the 8th spot in the East.

J.R. Smith ($3,900) – The Cavs are once again resting what seems like their entire team tonight. LeBron, Kyrie, and Love will all be out, and Tristan Thompson is also likely to sit. I can’t really imagine anyone other than J.R. will really pick up the scoring load, so he’s a great play tonight at under $4k. Cleveland will be going up against a Heat defense that is usually great at containing shooting guards, though they have recently slipped up over their last 5 games, giving up 38.7 fantasy points a game to the position.

Paul George ($9,900) – Paul George has absolutely taken control of the NBA over the last few weeks, posting a minimum of 40.5 and a max of 72.3 fantasy points in his last 5 contests. George and the Pacers are currently in the middle of a playoff push as they hold onto the 7th seed, though it is only by 1 game. These last 2 games are essentially must wins for them, so you can bet PG13 will try and take control to give Indiana the best chance to win. They’ll be facing the 76ers tonight, a team that has given up the 2nd most fantasy points to small forwards over their last 5 games (56.8).

Richaun Holmes ($6,100) – Holmes once again finds himself in our cash game plays for his matchup with the Indiana Pacers. With Dario’s minutes restriction Holmes has really taken control of the 76ers frontcourt, posting 27+ fantasy points in 4 of his last 5 games. The same should be in store tonight as he goes up against an Indiana team that gives up 44.4 fantasy points a game to power forwards. Philadelphia definitely doesn’t have anything to play for, so they’re just giving their young guys a lot of run down the stretch. Holmes has been a big beneficiary of this scheme, making him a safe cash game play as this season winds down.

DeAndre Jordan ($8,200) – The Clippers are still fighting with the Jazz for the 4th seed and home court advantage in the playoffs. Because of this, any Los Angeles player is a great start as Doc Rivers is likely to give them some insane minutes in these crucial games. The Clips will be facing off with a tough Houston Rockets team, so the game should still be highly competitive and the starters should remain in for a majority of the game. Also, Houston is giving up just about the most fantasy points I’ve seen this season to one position over their last 5 games (63.9 to centers.) If that isn’t enough incentive to plug DeAndre into your lineup I don’t know what would be.

 

GPP Plays

Goran Dragic ($7,900) – With so much value at the point guard position tonight it seems unlikely middle-priced guys like Goran Dragic will have a high own %. This is great news for tournament players as Dragic is priced under $8k and has been seeing a ridiculous amount of minutes as the Heat attempt to hold onto the 8th seed in the East. He should see minutes in the high 30s once again tonight as Miami faces off with the Cleveland Cavaliers. He needs 39 to reach value, and should easily be able to do that against a defense that is giving up 50.1 fantasy points a game to point guards on the season.

Nicolas Batum ($6,600) – I mentioned in a previous article, but Nic Batum is so underpriced, especially after back to back 41+ fantasy points games, He’s reached his $6,600 price tag 4 times in his last 5 games and is in a great position to do the same tonight against the Bucks. Milwaukee, on average, gives up 40.7 fantasy points a game to shooting guards. Batum should have no issues against them tonight and is a great call in tournament play.

Kevin Durant ($9,900) – Oddly enough, guys Jimmy Butler and Paul George are both priced similarly to Durant for Monday’s slate due to their recent production and Durant’s recent injury. Although their price is up there, these guys are still going to be popular plays as they are right in the middle of playing for playoff positioning. This means Durant is likely to get over looked as the Warriors no longer have anything to play for. KD will be seeing good minutes, though, as Golden State attempts to get him some court time before playoffs start. He doesn’t even need 50 to reach value, though he should easily be able to reach that number as the Jazz are already short-handed with no Gordon Hayward. Durant should be a lower owned star and a great start in GPP play.

Aaron Gordon ($6,300) – Despite one 14 fantasy point dud last week, Gordon has been an elite start at the power forward position, posting 31+ fantasy points in 5 of his last 6 contests. Also, in 2 of those games he posted 50+, with one of them being a monster 58.7 FP effort against the Boston Celtics. In this instance, Gordon displayed insane upside, making him a nice call in tournaments in Orlando’s last 2 games. He’ll be facing a Chicago Bulls team he should be able to rough up, considering they’ve given up the 3rd most fantasy points to power forwards in their last 5 games (50.9).

Cody Zeller ($5,000) – I hardly ever roll with Cody Zeller in my lineups, but I like him tonight as he goes up against the Milwaukee Bucks. The Hornets are currently 3 games out of the 8th seed with only 2 games left to play, which, if you need help doing math, means they are out of playoff contention. With nothing left to play for it seems likely the Hornets give the still young Zeller some great court time, with absolutely no pressure to do well. He only needs 25 fantasy points to reach value and will be going up against a Bucks defense that has given up the 11th most FP to centers on the season.

Cash Plays

Russell Westbrook ($13,500) – Again, it almost doesn’t even need to be said tonight, but between Westbrook and Harden, Russ is the clear cut cash game play as he chases history against the Denver Nuggets. He missed his 42nd triple-double of the season by 2 assists last game, but this game in Denver could be his last really good chance at obtaining the record. He should have another insanely high own % and you’re not going to want to pass on him.

Devin Booker ($8,100) – Booker’s price once again has not moved. I don’t know what else Fanduel wants us to do other than plug this guy into our lineups. He’s scored 33+ fantasy points in 8 straight games and has scored 40+ in 4 of his last 5. The kid is simply shooting too much to pass on him at this price. He’ll be facing a Dallas Mavericks team tonight that has allowed the 7th most fantasy points to shooting guards in their last 5 games.

Andrew Wiggins ($7,700) – Wiggins has absolutely destroyed the lakers in their previous meetings this season, and he gets another chance to do that tonight at the Staples Center. Neither team had anything to play for, so you can count on the young bucks on both sides getting a lot of court time tonight. Wiggins needs 38 to reach value, and he should easily be able to do that against Los Angeles’ weak defense.

Larry Nance Jr. ($4,300) – Nance is another guy who’s price didn’t move, which is surprising considering the hot streak he’s on to finish the season. He’s scored 20+ fantasy points in each of his last 4 games, and that’s all he needs to reach value again tonight. Plug him into you cash game lineup and watch the kid go to work tonight against the Timberwolves.

Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,200) – With the season winding down its hard to know whether or not teams are going to try and rest their guys for playoffs. I hate to give you another high-priced cash game guy, but KAT just seems like the safest center tonight for his matchup with the Lakers. As previously noted, the T-Wolves are not a team looking to rest their guys. KAT has an elite matchup tonight against a weak Lakers defense and is definitely a star to at least consider as a safe cash play.

Cash Plays

Russell Westbrook ($13,500) – It almost doesn’t even need to be said, but Westbrook is a clear cut cash game play for tonight’s game against the Phoenix Suns. He only needs 1 more triple-double to break Oscar Robertson’s all-time record for a season, so you can bet Westbrook and the rest of his teammates will be aiming for this accomplishment at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The Suns have also given up the 2nd most fantasy points to point guards over their last 5 games (62.2). If other point guards can do this against Phoneix’s weak backcourt it’s hard to imagine the kind of damage Russ should be able to do. Regardless, he’s the star you’re going to want to reach up for as he chases history and the 2017 MVP award.

Devin Booker ($8,100) – Booker didn’t shoot well from the field on Wednesday (7-24), but he was still able to put up 36.1 fantasy points against the Warriors. It was definitely an outlier kind of game considering Booker definitely shoots better than his performance, but he still threw up the 20+ shots I thought he would. As the season winds down it sees obvious Earl Watson has given Booker the go-ahead to take as many quality shots as he can get, and that will continue to be the trend tonight as the Suns face the Thunder.

Kyle Anderson ($3,600) – With the Spurs resting their main guys tonight there is a whole lot of value from a variety of San Antonio’s bench. However, my favorite play is small forward Kyle Anderson. The last time Kawhi Leonard was out and Anderson got the spot start he put up 33.6 fantasy points in 32 minutes of action. He is likely to see that kind of court time again tonight, so he has the potential for the same kind of production tonight against a tanking Mavericks team at American Airlines Center.

Larry Nance Jr. ($4,300) – Larry Nance Jr. was potentially the start of the night for us on Wednesday when he put up 31.8 fantasy points in 21 minutes of action. He didn’t see the kind of court time we hoped for, but his solid production in the 1st half was enough for him to easily exceed value. That great game came against a great Spurs defense also, which will not be an issue tonight as he faces the worst defense against power forwards in the Kings. Sacramento is giving up 49.9 FP to power forwards in their last 10 games, which is the most in the league during that stretch. Nance should see a little extra court time tonight and have even more production than he had on Wednesday.

Dwight Howard ($7,500) – There are a few options you can go with at center tonight, but with Paul Millsap out I’m likely to throw Dwight Howard into my cash game lineup. With Millsap out in March Howard really shouldered a lot of responsibility on both ends of the court. With a high intensity game against the Cleveland Cavaliers that is likely to continue tonight. He should easily reach a double-double , and with Tristan Thompson out he should gobble up a plethora of rebounds. Make sure to at least consider him when you’re making your cash game lineup.

 

GPP Plays

Kyrie Irving ($8,500) – Everyone and their mother will be reaching up for Russell Westbrook tonight, so the next highest priced guy, Kyrie Irving, is unlikely to get any love. Kyrie hasn’t technically reached value since March 19th against the Lakers, but his price tonight is manageable because of it. A matchup tonight against a fellow Eastern Conference playoff team in the Hawks is also likely to be motivation for the Cavs guys to play well, so I think Kyrie is a great call in GPP play tonight.

David Nwaba ($3,900) – I may be a bit biased to this kid considering he is a fellow Cal Poly kid, but he is really have success for the Lakers as the season winds down. He’s seeing 25-30 minutes a night for Los Angele’s second unit, and he’s making the most out of it. In his last 3 games he’s averaging 10.7 points and 4 rebounds game, which are solid numbers for a guy priced at $3,900. Last Saturday he also showcased his upside, posting 19 points and 6 rebounds in 35 minutes of action. For a guy primarily known for his defense those are some great offensive numbers. A matchup with the Sacramento Kings tonight should definitely be of benefit to him, as they’ve given up the 2nd most fantasy points to shooting guards on the year (44.2).

Gordon Hayward ($7,800) – I’m generally a no-go on Hayward, but a home matchup tonight against the Minnesota Timberwolves in a game they need to win seems like a great time to roll the dice on him. The Jazz are currently a half game up on the Clippers for the 4th seed and home court advantage in the playoffs, so Hayward and the rest of the Utah Jazz should come out highly motivated to win against a fellow Western Conference team. At $7,800 he needs 39 to reach value, which he most definitely can do against a team that is giving up the 8th most fantasy points to small forwards in their last 10 games (44.3).

Willie Cauley-Stein ($6,300) – Cauley-Stein has my favorite matchup of the night as he goes up against the Los Angeles Lakers at the Staples Center. The Lakers are giving up by far the most fantasy points a game to power forwards (48.9). In his last games against the Lakers he was able to put up 20ish fantasy points, but DeMarcus Cousins was also still in Sacramento. With Cousins now gone, Cauley-Stein is the main guy in the Kings frontcourt, and is likely to have a great game tonight against a weak Laker’s defense.

Hassan Whiteside ($8,500) – Hassan Whiteside has now posted 30+ fantasy points in 20 straight games, a remarkable feat for a guy that only needs 42 to reach value from night to night. In 8 of those games he’s put up 40+ FP as well, so he basically reaches value more times than not. He’s fresh off a 13 point/20 rebound effort against the Charlotte Hornets, and has a decent matchup tonight against Jonas Valanciunas and the Toronto Raptors. I see him easily reaching value tonight and obviously has the upside for much more.

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