Author: FD-GURU

Last night was just another night where the pick of the day reached at least 5x value with Alan Williams. He was able to get enough points, even while fouling out of the game with a good portion of the 4th quarter left. Tonight, I’m targeting a higher salary guy in Paul Millsap of the Atlanta Hawks. He draws a dreamy matchup tonight at home against the Nets. The line is 10.5 here so I’m not overly worried about a blowout. Even if the game blew out, Millsap will need to produce for that offense in order to get ahead. He could still reach value in three quarters. Tonight, for Millsap to reach 5x value, he needs around 40 fantasy points where I see him achieving without too much difficulty.

Cash Plays

John Wall ($10,200) –I’m going to keep looking to get Wall into my cash game lineups if his price remains around $10,000, and that’s exactly where it is tonight for his matchup with the Nuggets, a team that has given up the 3rd most points in the league. Not only that, they have also given up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing point guards all season. Wall should be able to feast on their weak defense and rack up a ton of fantasy points. Don’t let his price scare you away.

Evan Fournier ($5,400) – Fournier has been very consistent over his last 4 games, posting at least 22 fantasy points in each of them. Most of the big name shooting guards on the slate are either over priced or have an awful matchup, so I expect a lot of people to look to Fournier tonight for consistency and a little cap relief. The Bulls are pretty solid guarding the SG position, but if Wade/Butler sit it’s going to be up to other, lesser known players to get the job done against Fournier. I like him at home tonight.

Wilson Chandler ($6,800) – Chandler went off for a massive 57.4 fantasy points on Monday against the Kings. It’s obviously unlikely he does that again, but Nikola Jokic is doubtful and Faried has already been ruled out, meaning the Nuggets will turn to Chandler to be the primary scorer against the Wizards tonight. Washington is in the bottom half of the league in total fantasy points given up to opposing small forwards and I don’t see Chandler having any issues reaching value against them tonight in Denver.

Aaron Gordon ($5,700) – As previously mentioned in one of my articles, Gordon is filling in quite nicely as the Magic’s starting power forward. With Vucevic out Gordon has enjoyed his new roll even more, putting up 30+ fantasy points in his last 3 games and stepping up whenever Orlando needs him. In his 2 meetings with the Bulls this year Gordon has done relatively well, putting up 28.8 and 22.2 FP. With an increased roll tonight I think he easily exceeds value and will be a great cash game option.

(If you’re not a fan of the Magic stack look to Bobby Portis {$4,300} or even David Lee {$4,500} tonight as value plays at the power forward position)

Bismack Biyombo ($4,600) – I really like the Orlando guys tonight, so I’m going to keep it rolling with another guy from their squad. Biyombo’s price is now up to $4,600 after back-to-back solid performances while Nikola Vucevic was out. Vucevic will sit again tonight with an Achilles injury and I expect Bismack to remain a popular cash game play. The Magic will have home court tonight against a Bulls team that looks like they may be rather limited with Butler, Wade, and Rondo all listed as game time decisions. Regardless of who plays, Biyombo is in a great position tonight against a Chicago team that has given up an average of 53.5 fantasy points per game to the center position over their last 5 games, which is good for 3rd worst in the league.

GPP Plays

Jeremy Lin ($5,200) – I love Lin’s matchup tonight against a Hawks defense that is giving up 50.4 FP a game to the point guard position this year. He’s not seeing quite the same amount of minutes he was getting prior to his injury, but Kenny Atkinson is slowly working him back into the rotation. He’s seen 24 minutes in his last 2 games and I think he’ll see 25+ tonight. He has the potential to have a great game but he’s definitely a “play at your own risk” kind of guy.

Garrett Temple ($4,200) – Temple returned from injury on Sunday and played in 24 minutes against the Jazz. He sat out the following game for rest but will be available again tonight as the Kings take on the Spurs, who will be without Kawhi Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge. If he is given at least 25 minutes tonight I see him exceeding his $4,200 price tag and being a good play in GPP games.

Marcus Morris ($6,100) – The younger of the Morris twins has had a nice return from the all-star break, averaging 32.7 FP per game over 6 games. A large chunk of that is from his 55.6 FP outbreak last week against Portland, but it’s for that exact reason that I like Morris in tournaments. He’s shown he has insane upside on some nights and it’s just about picking and choosing when to roll the dice on him. Tonight he faces an Indiana team that is good defensively against small forwards. However, over their last 10 games they have given up 49.6 FP per game to the position, which is 3rd worst in the league. I think tonight may be the night to plug Morris into your GPP lineup and watch him take control.

Blake Griffin ($9,500) – Griffin has not been exceeding his price tag over his last few games and his price is not going down to reflect it. Tonight is more than likely going to be a night where most fade Griffin as he goes up against Karl-Anthony Towns and the Minnesota Timberwolves. The reason he is a good tournament play should be relatively obvious. He’s Blake Griffin and carries ridiculous upside anytime he takes the court. He should have a low own % and be a great GPP play.

Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,900) – KAT will be facing the Clippers tonight in Minnesota and is, in my opinion, extremely over-priced. He’s obviously a very consistent center, having posted 7 consecutive game of at least 41+ fantasy points. However, in only 2 of those games did he reach his $10,900 price tag. There will definitely be fantasy points up for grabs tonight against a Clipper team that has been struggling to contain the center position over their last 10 games, giving up an average of 49.8 fantasy points in that time. He should score plenty; it’s just a matter of whether or not he can have a great game.

The pick of the day crushed value once again last night. Biyombo got a solid 28 fantasy points at his minimum price tag. Tonight, we are staying at the center position with Alan Williams on the Phoenix Suns. Tonight is a small slate and there isn’t too much value out there. The center position is fairly weak tonight, but Williams offers a lot of value at his price of $5,500. Expect him to be up around 30 fantasy points to trump his 5x value.

Cash Plays

John Wall ($10,200) – Wall’s price came down a bit after an “off performance” of 19 points, 10 assists, and 6 rebounds. He’s scored 40+ fantasy points in 11 of his last 13 games and gets to matchup tonight against a Phoenix Suns team that is giving up the most fantasy points to opposing PG’s in their last 5 games. The last time he faced Phoenix he greatly struggled from the field, shooting 6-24 in a 106-101 win in mid-November. Despite his poor shooting, he still managed to put up 57 fantasy points. He will have plenty of opportunities to get FP again tonight and should be in for a huge day.

Seth Curry ($6,200) – Curry has been one of the shooting guards I have rolled with a lot in my cash games as of late. It’s been an entire month since he last scored under 20 fantasy points and I don’t see him struggling to reach value tonight against an awful Lakers defense. He’ll be a very popular pick due to the small slate and his recent production. You’re definitely going to want to get him into your cash game lineup.

Maurice Harkless ($4,800) – Moe Harkless has been one of my favorite players to watch over the past week while he has filled in for the injured Evan Turner. He has put up at least 22 fantasy points in every game since the all-star break and his price has not gone up to reflect his recent production. Harkless should see 35+ minutes again tonight against an OKC team that has allowed the 11th most fantasy points to opposing small forwards over their last 10 games.

Enes Kanter ($5,800) – Tonight Enes Kanter gets a great matchup against a Portland team that has given up the 3rd most fantasy points to power forwards all season. Kanter hasn’t seen as many minutes since returning from injury, but against Portland last week he did see 28 minutes, which I think we can expect from him again tonight. Even in limited time he has been performing, though, putting up at least 29 fantasy points in 4 games since his return. At $5,800 he doesn’t even need 30 FP to reach value, but I think he should be able to get there against a bad Portland defense.

Jusuf Nurkic ($6,700) – Portland will be in OKC tonight to take on the Thunder, a team Nurkic abused for 51.4 fantasy points just last Thursday. In that game he played 38 minutes, the most he’s seen in a Trail Blazers uniform. Tonight, he’s likely to get the same run time because Portland will need him to matchup with Steven Adams inside. His price is getting up there due to his great play as of late, as he has scored at least 30 FP in 4 of his last 5 games. He shouldn’t have any issues reaching value tonight against an Oklahoma City team we’ve seen him do well against.

 

GPP Plays

Jordan Clarkson ($5,100) – With most of the Lakers backcourt attention on DeAngelo Russell tonight, Jordan Clarkson should fly under the radar. He’s been consistent coming out of the all-star break, averaging right around 25 fantasy points a game. That’s right around where you need him to hit to reach value tonight, but he’s shown he can put up closer to 35 on a good night. Dallas is great at guarding the point, but he has done well against them this year, averaging close to 16 points a game. Plug him in and hope Walton gives him some increased run time tonight.

Victor Oladipo (6,000) – Oladipo is a game time decision tonight, so definitely make sure to check and see if he’s playing/if he’ll be on any minute restrictions before plugging him into any of your lineups. That being said, all the other shooting guards around him seem like viable cash game picks, so Oladipo makes the most sense from a tournament perspective. If he does play, he’ll get a great matchup against a Portland defense that has been struggling to defend the shooting guard position of late. He’s really a shot in the dark, but if he does play I think he has the potential to make for a great GPP pick.

Bojan Bogdanovic ($4,000) – Bogdanovic has hit 27 fantasy points in 2 of his last 3 games and is in a great position to do the same tonight against the Phoenix Suns. Not only is Phoenix in the bottom half of the league when it comes to defending the SF, but the Suns have also been playing smaller as of late, which bodes well for Bojan when they match up tonight. The Suns are dead last in opponent 3-point shooting percentage this year and that is exactly Bogdanovic’s game. He’s only $4,000 and can easily hit 20 FP and reach value for your GPP lineup.

Al-Farouq Aminu ($5,400) – Despite the small slate, there are a variety of mid-range power forwards to choose from. The 3 players priced above Aminu (Nowitzki, Randle, Morris) should be relatively popular picks. However, Aminu’s price is in between mid-range play and value play, in my opinion. This leads me to believe his own % could suffer tonight, even on this small of a slate. He’s been doing well as of late, scoring 29+ fantasy points in 2 of his last 3 games. With a matchup against an average OKC defense he should be able to put up those numbers once again and reach value for your fantasy lineup.

Steven Adams ($5,700) – With so much of the attention on Jusuf Nurkic and Alan Willaims many will fade Adams tonight, despite his great matchup against Portland. The Trail Blazers have been awful at defending the big man positions and Adams should be able to exploit their weak spots tonight in what should be a close game. He should see some good run time and he has a chance to make up for his 8.2 fantasy point dud he had against them last week in Portland.

 

Yesterday’s pick of the day in Jaylen Brown crushed value. Lets keep the pick of the day producing by picking a guy in a fantastic position tonight. I’m rolling with Bismack Biyombo of the Orlando Magic. I made the mistake of picking Olynyk over Biyombo last night and it ended up being the reason why I lost. I will not be making the same mistake tonight. Lock Bismack in with his minimum price and watch crush  value tonight in a fantastic matchup at home against the Knicks.

Cash Plays

Ty Lawson ($4,600) – Lawson has been settling into his new role, starting the last 3 games for the Kings and posting no less than 26+ fantasy points and 32+ minutes in each of those contests. Tonight, Sacramento faces a Denver defense that has given up the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing points guards all season. The game should see a lot of scoring and not a whole lot of defense, allowing Lawson to have plenty of chances at fantasy points for your lineup. He shouldn’t have a problem scoring 25 FP tonight and reaching value for your team.

Klay Thompson ($7,000) – Klay had a sub-par performance against Chicago on Wednesday, posting only 13.7 fantasy points in 37 minutes of action. However, he came back against the Knicks last night and put up 36.3 FP, once again seeing 37 minutes of run time. His bounce back performance proved he is still a viable option in your cash game lineups as long as Kevin Durant is out. The Warriors will be facing an Atlanta Hawks team that have given up the 11th most fantasy points to shooting guards this season.

Jimmy Butler ($9,100) – Dwayne Wade has been ruled out tonight with a thigh injury. When Wade sits, Jimmy Butler’s usage goes through the roof. The last two games in which Wade didn’t suit up, Jimmy put up 45 fantasy points twice, which I think is his floor tonight against the Pistons. Detroit is pretty good defending the small forward, but being that these two teams are separated in the Eastern Conference by 1 game (the 7th and 8th seeds), it’s safe to say it should be a high intensity game that Jimmy Butler tries to take over.

Aaron Gordon ($5,200) – With Vucevic out last night, Gordon was able to help and pick up some of the slack, putting up 32.7 FP over 35 minutes. He has been settling in nicely as the Magic starting power forward, posting at least 26 fantasy points in 4 of the 5 games since Ibaka left. The down performance (16 fantasy points) did come against the same Knicks team the Magic will square off with tonight. However, I don’t see Gordon having any issues this time around against a New York team that is in the bottom 10 in the league in fantasy points given up to the PF position over their last 10 games.

Bismack Biyombo ($3,500) – I rolled with Biyombo last night in my cash game lineup and he didn’t disappoint, reaching value by the end of the first quarter. Tonight, he will get another spot start as Nikola Vucevic sits out will a sore Achilles. Biyombo will be heavily owned because of his performance last night and is, in my opinion, the must-start of the night. His price didn’t move and he should have absolutely no problem getting at least 20 fantasy points and reach value for your team, though I expect him to get much more.

 

GPP Plays

Jeff Teague ($7,300) – With a variety of high-priced point guards to reach up for, it appears it’s going to be one of those nights where the middle-priced PG’s don’t get much attention. This bodes well for Jeff Teague, who has only reached value for his $7,300 price tag once in his last 5 games. The Pacers will be squaring off with a Charlotte Hornets team that are middle-of-the-road defending the point this season. The last time Teague faced them he recorded a 16 point and 11 assist double-double. He should be able to once again exploit the Hornets weak spots tonight at the Spectrum Center.

Eric Gordon ($5,000) – I would assume many will pass on Gordon tonight given the fact that he has a matchup with the Spurs in San Antonio. It’s obviously well known the Spurs are a great defense team. However, they have struggled this year against the shooting guard. Against all others position they rank in the top 5 in fantasy points allowed. Against the SG, though, they are in the bottom half of the league, giving up the 12th most points to the position. Gordon has been able to score against them in the 3 meetings this year, averaging 18.3 points per game. The recent acquisition of Lou Williams obviously makes things a little different in the Rocket’s backcourt this go around, but Gordon should be able to reach his price tag and bring serious upside considering his scoring potential.

Danilo Gallinari ($6,600) – Tonight, Gallinari and the Nuggets get to matchup against a Kings team that have given up the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing small forwards over their last 5 games. Nikola Jokic is questionable tonight, and if he ends up sitting, Gallinari’s usage and upside would both see a significant boost. Even if Jokic does play, however, Gallo should see no problem reaching value for your GPP lineup.

Zach Randolph ($6,300) – Randolph is seeing right around 25 minutes a game and doing a lot with it, posting lines of 35.2, 35.6, and 41 fantasy points last week. He gets a great matchup tonight against a Nets team that are allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this year. Despite his recent production, his down game 2 nights ago against the Rockets is likely to push people away from him, making him a solid tournament option with a great matchup.

Hassan Whiteside ($8,700) – There’s quite a few big man value options to choose from tonight so I don’t expect Fanduel players to reach up at the center position. Even if they do reach up, though, I don’t expect it to be for Hassan Whiteside. This is good news for him in tournament lineups, as he brings serious 50+ point fantasy upside any night he plays. Lately, he has been relatively consistent, posting 8 double-doubles in his last 9 games. They’ll need him to be on the court tonight as the Heat match up with the physical Tristan Thompson and a tough Cavs team that will have LeBron and Kyrie active. Whiteside could be in for a huge game at Quicken Loans Arena.

 

Pick of the day has still yet to disappoint since the All-Star break. I’m going with Jaylen Brown on the Celtics tonight, as he should see a lot usage on the court with no Bradley or Horford. Brown is settling in very nicely as a rookie and is coming into his own as a Celtic. His price tag is nice and low tonight and should be up around that 20 point value he needs. Expect him to excel in an above average matchup tonight against the Suns.